PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)56% (100–79, n=179)45% (501–606, n=1107)49% (823–849, n=1672)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$3.5M$12.1M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #373PM monthly #1PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position73% (24 of 33 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 784 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0%7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢0%26% (won 93% of 29)35% (won 98% of 181)41% (won 99% of 322)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)42% (won 96% of 47)34% (won 99% of 176)49% (won 99% of 383)
Entries 70¢ and up0%24% (won 96% of 27)20% (won 100% of 105)5% (won 100% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.