Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
-JB-BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)99% (2727–38, n=2765)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6493–6083, n=12576)
Consensus PnL$146K$7.3M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #656PM monthly #3PM monthly #13
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position81% (22 of 27 open)71% (193 of 272 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won99% of 2635 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 80% of 5)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 33% of 6)35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 59% of 41)35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 100% of 2583)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.