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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
-JB-0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (61–67, n=128)no settled market44% (193–241, n=434)
Consensus PnL—-$304K—$16K
Tracked as—PM monthly #9PM monthly #6PM monthly #45
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position38% (3 of 8 open)no open consensus position69% (9 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 0% of 1)8% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢—25% (won 94% of 17)8% (won 0% of 1)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 100% of 33)69% (won 67% of 9)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 100% of 16)15% (won 100% of 2)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market-JB-0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
—MOUZ $161K—G2 $5.4K
Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Jurij Rodionov $13K—Jurij Rodionov $34K
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
same side · consensus MOUZ
—G2 $53—G2 $12K