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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
-JB-0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)99% (2735–38, n=2773)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$146K$7.8M$5.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #656PM monthly #68PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (12 of 17 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=134—
Settled positions, side won99% of 2568 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 80% of 5)17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 33% of 6)24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 56% of 39)29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 100% of 2518)30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.