Consensus PnL $47K · win rate 83% (5318–1097, n=6415) · PM monthly #523 · holds 98 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$47.0K
Record
5318W / 1097L
Win Rate
83.0%
of 6415 settled
Batting Avg
33.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#270
Source
PM monthly #523
Record (90 d)
6761/7278 · 93%
Trades
6,339
Markets
15,685
Volume
$18.2M
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Top consensus positions
98 in listed consensus markets · 76 of 98 on the consensus side (78%)- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?No $2.2K · now 91¢ · in at 90¢with the consensus (67% of 19)
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?No $1.4K · now 55¢ · in at 62¢with the consensus (75% of 48)
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?No $1.4K · now 56¢ · in at 55¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?No $1.3K · now 76¢ · in at 98¢with the consensus (67% of 9)
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under $1.3K · now 73¢ · in at 51¢with the consensus (63% of 33)
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?No $1.3K · now 33¢ · in at 34¢with the consensus (92% of 14)
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05?No $1.2K · now 81¢ · in at 79¢with the consensus (80% of 10)
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?No $919 · now 51¢ · in at 52¢with the consensus (80% of 10)
Specialties
4,086 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 68¢- Tennis
+51 pts
side won 99% of 226 · avg entry 47¢
ROI +42%
- NBA
+50 pts
side won 100% of 84 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +13%
- College Football
+50 pts
side won 100% of 73 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +37%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 100% of 256)
- 30–50¢: 21%(won 100% of 859)
- 50–70¢: 22%(won 100% of 884)
- 70¢ and up: 51%(won 100% of 2087)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.