
Consensus PnL $1.5K · win rate 92% (203–18, n=221) · PM monthly #980 · holds 4 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$1.5K
Record
203W / 18L
Win Rate
92.0%
of 221 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#274
Source
PM monthly #980
Record (90 d)
216/235 · 92%
Trades
3,052
Markets
383
Volume
$114.0K
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Top consensus positions
4 in listed consensus markets · 3 of 4 on the consensus side (75%)- Will Almere City FC win on 2026-11-14?Yes $392 · now 97¢ · in at 96¢with the consensus (44% of 16)
- Will South Sudan win on 2026-11-14?No $39 · now 95¢ · in at 97¢with the consensus (88% of 16)
- Will Roda JC Kerkrade win on 2026-11-14?Yes $12 · now 52¢ · in at 76¢with the consensus (75% of 10)
- Will Algeria vs. Togo end in a draw?Yes $5 · now 21¢ · in at 15¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
183 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 91¢- Soccer
+9 pts
side won 100% of 183 · avg entry 91¢
ROI +6%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 100% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 1%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 3%(won 100% of 5)
- 70¢ and up: 95%(won 100% of 174)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.