Consensus PnL $23K · win rate 75% (80–26, n=106) · PM monthly #826 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$22.9K
Record
80W / 26L
Win Rate
75.0%
of 106 settled
Batting Avg
25.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#407
Source
PM monthly #826
Record (90 d)
45/54 · 83%
Trades
20
Markets
109
Volume
$233.1K
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Specialties
54 settled consensus markets · held side won 83% at an average entry of 72¢- Soccer
+11 pts
side won 83% of 53 · avg entry 72¢
ROI +11%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 11%(won 50% of 6)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 25% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 11%(won 83% of 6)
- 70¢ and up: 70%(won 95% of 38)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.