Consensus PnL $28K · win rate 70% (95–40, n=135) · PM monthly #838 · holds 14 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$28.3K
Record
95W / 40L
Win Rate
70.0%
of 135 settled
Batting Avg
25.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#508
Source
PM monthly #838
Record (90 d)
46/59 · 78%
Trades
20
Markets
152
Volume
$235.5K
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Top consensus positions
14 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 14 on the consensus side (14%)- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?Yes $1.9K · now 38¢ · in at 39¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08?Yes $10 · now 49¢ · in at 48¢against the consensus (No)
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?Yes $10 · now 55¢ · in at 55¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?Yes $10 · now 56¢ · in at 58¢against the consensus (No)
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?Yes $10 · now 75¢ · in at 76¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?Yes $10 · now 62¢ · in at 63¢with the consensus (40% of 5)
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?Yes $10 · now 52¢ · in at 53¢against the consensus (No)
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?Yes $10 · now 85¢ · in at 86¢with the consensus (42% of 14)
Specialties
59 settled consensus markets · held side won 78% at an average entry of 70¢- Soccer
+8 pts
side won 78% of 58 · avg entry 69¢
ROI +12%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 14%(won 38% of 8)
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 20% of 5)
- 50–70¢: 12%(won 71% of 7)
- 70¢ and up: 66%(won 95% of 39)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.