Houston vs. Utah

9 of 25 top Polymarket traders hold Utah (36%) · Utah at 58¢ · $330K held · ended Oct 25

Houston42¢Utah58¢Ended Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

🔥

Strong

Utah

Consensus Traders

Utah 36%

8 arb excluded

Total Value

$329.9K

Combined PnL

$2.7K

Smart Money Entry

52.7¢ → 58¢

+10% since entry · 9 traders

Smart Money Signal

Utah

9 of 25 top traders (36%)8 arbitrage traders dimmed16 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Houston42%

Utah58%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Utah9 traders

Total Value$92.4K

Total Shares171,303

Combined PnL-$864.83

Houston16 traders

Total Value$76.2K

Total Shares143,942

Combined PnL+$3.6K

Utah — 36%Houston — 64%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
MO mooseborzoiiARB<$100	Utahavg 52.3¢	$110.1K	$111.4K	+$1.4K	51% 980-959 (1939)
└ Utah leg	Utahavg 52.3¢	$60.6K	$66.6K	+$6.0K
└ Houston leg	Houstonavg 46.9¢	$49.5K	$44.9K	$-4.6K
0X 0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186	Utahavg 59.2¢	$32.1K	$28.8K	$-4.2K	46% 363-419 (782)
ET ethanazCTR	Houstonavg 43.2¢	$20.6K	$28.4K	+$4.0K	52% 524-475 (999)
SI sinasinnerCTR	Houstonavg 48¢	$25.2K	$24.7K	-$525.83	57% 20-15 (35)
BF 0xbfd4...526f	Utahavg 52.7¢	$22.6K	$22.7K	+$129.59	—
RN1ARB<$100	Houstonavg 53.3¢	$16.8K	$17.3K	+$464.32	55% 43011-35367 (78378)
└ Utah leg	Utahavg 45.3¢	$8.3K	$10.2K	+$1.9K
└ Houston leg	Houstonavg 53.3¢	$8.5K	$7.1K	$-1.4K
EL Electricy	Utahavg 44.6¢	$13.7K	$16.3K	+$2.6K	62% 353-217 (570)
HO HomeRunHazardARB<$100	Houstonavg 51.1¢	$16.9K	$15.7K	$-1.2K	55% 11679-9574 (21253)
└ Houston leg	Houstonavg 51.1¢	$9.6K	$8.9K	-$672.38
└ Utah leg	Utahavg 56.7¢	$7.3K	$6.8K	-$533.84
TA takeormake	Utahavg 48.3¢	$9.9K	$10.4K	+$524.38	55% 2890-2386 (5276)
esportsbetter1	Utahavg 52¢	$9.8K	$10.0K	+$189	48% 136-147 (283)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100	Utahavg 47.9¢	$9.3K	$9.4K	+$142.17	53% 12053-10832 (22885)
└ Utah leg	Utahavg 47.9¢	$5.0K	$5.8K	+$793.1
└ Houston leg	Houstonavg 52.4¢	$4.3K	$3.6K	-$650.93
TO torta.techCTR	Houstonavg 46.8¢	$5.8K	$5.6K	-$16.53	75% 5987-2005 (7992)
AW awesoCTR	Houstonavg 47¢	$4.7K	$4.7K	+$0	61% 20-13 (33)
0X 0x418D51e13d019913BB027DB22ECc723fe1AD88A3-1720918577961CTR	Houstonavg 45¢	$4.5K	$4.7K	+$350	48% 202-223 (425)
JU justaluckydudeARB<$100	Utahavg 47.5¢	$2.9K	$3.0K	+$149.43	53% 6396-5735 (12131)
└ Utah leg	Utahavg 47.5¢	$1.8K	$2.1K	+$372.14
└ Houston leg	Houstonavg 53¢	$1.1K	$902.44	-$222.71
ME metski29	Utahavg 55.8¢	$2.8K	$2.6K	-$410.78	44% 233-298 (531)
BI BillBenter2026ARB<$100	Utahavg 54.9¢	$2.3K	$2.2K	-$75.94	58% 16066-11724 (27790)
└ Utah leg	Utahavg 54.9¢	$1.2K	$1.1K	-$51.6
└ Houston leg	Houstonavg 48.6¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	-$24.34
MI MilesYCTR	Houstonavg 45.6¢	$2.0K	$2.0K	+$145.92	58% 537-392 (929)
UP UpTheBluesCTR	Houstonavg 47.9¢	$1.3K	$1.4K	+$16.88	68% 30682-14740 (45422)
CH chiefphiARB<$100	Houstonavg 55¢	$1.3K	$1.2K	-$89.98	52% 54-49 (103)
└ Utah leg	Utahavg 52¢	$590.2	$601.55	+$11.35
└ Houston leg	Houstonavg 55¢	$696.64	$595.31	-$101.33
imaninsidercheatingthesystemCTR	Houstonavg 49¢	$1.2K	$1.1K	-$47.31	36% 20-36 (56)
PR primmCTR	Houstonavg 57¢	$1.3K	$1.1K	-$232.56	45% 970-1164 (2134)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080ARB<$100	Utahavg 64¢	$1.1K	$1.0K	-$110	51% 945-911 (1856)
└ Utah leg	Utahavg 64¢	$960	$795	-$187.5
└ Houston leg	Houstonavg 33¢	$165	$235	+$77.5
0X 0xc8a4337850Be801fcf6a0a2c257085895Cd8c97f-1790014603793CTR	Houstonavg 48.6¢	$1.9K	$979.93	+$20.3	55% 195-162 (357)
0X 0xfd8ff771a52c22a8a29a3156572d9b3e47fd761d	Utahavg 49¢	$784	$848	-$8	52% 118-107 (225)

mooseborzoiiARB<$100

Utah

Invested

$110,090.3

Value

$111.4K

PnL

+$1.4K

Record

51%

980-959 (1939)

Both legs:

Utah$60,592.852.3¢+$6.0K

Houston$49,497.546.9¢$-4.6K

0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186

Utah

Invested

$32,094.18

Value

$28.8K

PnL

$-4.2K

Record

46%

363-419 (782)

ethanazCTR

Houston

Invested

$20,590.76

Value

$28.4K

PnL

+$4.0K

Record

52%

524-475 (999)

sinasinnerCTR

Houston

Invested

$25,239.84

Value

$24.7K

PnL

-$525.83

Record

57%

20-15 (35)

0xbfd4...526f

Utah

Invested

$22,600

Value

$22.7K

PnL

+$129.59

Record

—

RN1ARB<$100

Houston

Invested

$16,803.51

Value

$17.3K

PnL

+$464.32

Record

55%

43011-35367 (78378)

Both legs:

Utah$8,322.4345.3¢+$1.9K

Houston$8,481.0853.3¢$-1.4K

Electricy

Utah

Invested

$13,686.5

Value

$16.3K

PnL

+$2.6K

Record

62%

353-217 (570)

HomeRunHazardARB<$100

Houston

Invested

$16,856.72

Value

$15.7K

PnL

$-1.2K

Record

55%

11679-9574 (21253)

Both legs:

Houston$9,569.7551.1¢-$672.38

Utah$7,286.9756.7¢-$533.84

takeormake

Utah

Invested

$9,871.32

Value

$10.4K

PnL

+$524.38

Record

55%

2890-2386 (5276)

esportsbetter1

Utah

Invested

$9,828

Value

$10.0K

PnL

+$189

Record

48%

136-147 (283)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100

Utah

Invested

$9,284.06

Value

$9.4K

PnL

+$142.17

Record

53%

12053-10832 (22885)

Both legs:

Utah$4,985.3747.9¢+$793.1

Houston$4,298.6852.4¢-$650.93

torta.techCTR

Houston

Invested

$5,845.73

Value

$5.6K

PnL

-$16.53

Record

75%

5987-2005 (7992)

awesoCTR

Houston

Invested

$4,700

Value

$4.7K

PnL

+$0

Record

61%

20-13 (33)

0x418D51e13d019913BB027DB22ECc723fe1AD88A3-1720918577961CTR

Houston

Invested

$4,499.99

Value

$4.7K

PnL

+$350

Record

48%

202-223 (425)

justaluckydudeARB<$100

Utah

Invested

$2,891.9

Value

$3.0K

PnL

+$149.43

Record

53%

6396-5735 (12131)

Both legs:

Utah$1,766.7547.5¢+$372.14

Houston$1,125.1553¢-$222.71

metski29

Utah

Invested

$2,750

Value

$2.6K

PnL

-$410.78

Record

44%

233-298 (531)

BillBenter2026ARB<$100

Utah

Invested

$2,261.54

Value

$2.2K

PnL

-$75.94

Record

58%

16066-11724 (27790)

Both legs:

Utah$1,185.0854.9¢-$51.6

Houston$1,076.4648.6¢-$24.34

MilesYCTR

Houston

Invested

$1,973.16

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$145.92

Record

58%

537-392 (929)

UpTheBluesCTR

Houston

Invested

$1,335.78

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$16.88

Record

68%

30682-14740 (45422)

chiefphiARB<$100

Houston

Invested

$1,286.84

Value

$1.2K

PnL

-$89.98

Record

52%

54-49 (103)

Both legs:

Utah$590.252¢+$11.35

Houston$696.6455¢-$101.33

imaninsidercheatingthesystemCTR

Houston

Invested

$1,159

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$47.31

Record

36%

20-36 (56)

primmCTR

Houston

Invested

$1,325.58

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$232.56

Record

45%

970-1164 (2134)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080ARB<$100

Utah

Invested

$1,125

Value

$1.0K

PnL

-$110

Record

51%

945-911 (1856)

Both legs:

Utah$96064¢-$187.5

Houston$16533¢+$77.5

0xc8a4337850Be801fcf6a0a2c257085895Cd8c97f-1790014603793CTR

Houston

Invested

$1,888

Value

$979.93

PnL

+$20.3

Record

55%

195-162 (357)

0xfd8ff771a52c22a8a29a3156572d9b3e47fd761d

Utah

Invested

$784

Value

$848

PnL

-$8

Record

52%

118-107 (225)

Smart Money Signal

Utah

9 of 25 top traders (36%)8 arbitrage traders dimmed16 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Utah wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance60.2%

58.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$66.09

Max Loss

-$100.00

166.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.