Spread: Utah (-2.5)
3 of 6 top Polymarket traders hold Houston (50%) · Houston at 57¢ · $3K held · ended Oct 25
💧
Weak
Houston
6
Houston 50%
$3.4K
-$861.99
54.8¢ → 57¢
+4% since entry · 3 traders
Smart Money Signal
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazard | Houstonavg 54.8¢ | $2.9K | $2.0K | -$893.59 | 55% 11679-9574 (21253) |
JU justaluckydudeCTR | Utahavg 37¢ | $512.27 | $704.2 | +$191.93 | 53% 6396-5735 (12131) |
NA NatoAlfista | Houstonavg 55.2¢ | $608.15 | $413.08 | -$195.07 | 65% 2682-1438 (4120) |
 TimeTravelerCTR | Utahavg 50.5¢ | $101 | $125 | +$24 | 41% 1886-2662 (4548) |
TA takeormakeCTR<$100 | Utahavg 38.5¢ | $45.46 | $73.75 | +$28.29 | 55% 2890-2386 (5276) |
 RN1<$100 | Houstonavg 54¢ | $57.45 | $39.89 | -$17.55 | 55% 43011-35367 (78378) |
Invested
$2,891.56
Value
$2.0K
PnL
-$893.59
Record
55%
11679-9574 (21253)
Invested
$512.27
Value
$704.2
PnL
+$191.93
Record
53%
6396-5735 (12131)
Invested
$608.15
Value
$413.08
PnL
-$195.07
Record
65%
2682-1438 (4120)
TimeTravelerCTRInvested
$101
Value
$125
PnL
+$24
Record
41%
1886-2662 (4548)
Invested
$45.46
Value
$73.75
PnL
+$28.29
Record
55%
2890-2386 (5276)
RN1<$100Invested
$57.45
Value
$39.89
PnL
-$17.55
Record
55%
43011-35367 (78378)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
57.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.