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81
Consensus PnL $28K · win rate 74% (2172–780, n=2952) · PM monthly #159 · holds 4 consensus positions
0x8191c793...b638da72Polymarket
🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$28.2K
Record
2172W / 780L
Win Rate
74.0%
of 2952 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#567
Source
PM monthly #159
Trades
455
Markets
3,060
Volume
$7.0M
Top consensus positions
4 in listed consensus markets · 4 of 4 on the consensus side (100%)- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over $844 · now 49¢ · in at 47¢with the consensus (86% of 7)
- Rot-Weiss Essen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Over $688 · now 53¢ · in at 52¢with the consensus (33% of 12)
- NK Radomlje vs. Mura Murska Sobota: O/U 2.5Under $94 · now 49¢ · in at 89¢with the consensus (73% of 11)
- Rot-Weiss Essen vs. RB Leipzig: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under $38 · now 100¢ · in at 86¢with the consensus (57% of 8)
Specialties
1,816 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 82¢- Soccer
+18 pts
side won 100% of 1816 · avg entry 82¢
ROI +20%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 100% of 5)
- 30–50¢: 1%(won 100% of 22)
- 50–70¢: 11%(won 100% of 205)
- 70¢ and up: 87%(won 100% of 1584)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.