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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 1?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 57%
Total Value
$163.2
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 7 top traders (57%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe91f1b0c...2a9fe3
Slug
highest-temperature-in-hong-kong-on-november-1-2026-30c