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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 78%

Total Value

$133.55

Combined PnL

-$51.19

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down2 traders

Total Value$133.55

Total Shares134

Combined PnL-$7.96

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares205

Combined PnL-$43.23

Down — 22%Up — 78%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 77.3¢	$136.11	$127.41	-$8.69	52% 8826-8271 (17097)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$22.75	—	-$22.75	47% 13029-14600 (27629)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 88¢	$5.4	$6.14	+$0.74	66% 127863-65778 (193641)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 15.9¢	$15.08	—	-$15.08	57% 72544-55201 (127745)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 7.4¢	$3.15	—	-$3.15	54% 46586-38972 (85558)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 17¢	$1.26	—	-$1.26	61% 96578-60871 (157449)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 12¢	$0.6	—	-$0.6	56% 59008-45580 (104588)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 7¢	$0.35	—	-$0.35	48% 4685-5102 (9787)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.04	—	-$0.04	46% 38885-46080 (84965)

Invested

$136.11

Value

$127.41

PnL

-$8.69

Record

52%

8826-8271 (17097)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Invested

$22.75

Value

—

PnL

-$22.75

Record

47%

13029-14600 (27629)

Invested

$5.4

Value

$6.14

PnL

+$0.74

Record

66%

127863-65778 (193641)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$15.08

Value

—

PnL

-$15.08

Record

57%

72544-55201 (127745)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$3.15

Value

—

PnL

-$3.15

Record

54%

46586-38972 (85558)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$1.26

Value

—

PnL

-$1.26

Record

61%

96578-60871 (157449)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$0.6

Value

—

PnL

-$0.6

Record

56%

59008-45580 (104588)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$0.35

Value

—

PnL

-$0.35

Record

48%

4685-5102 (9787)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.04

Value

—

PnL

-$0.04

Record

46%

38885-46080 (84965)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x08bb8818...11e982

Slug

eth-updown-5m-1793628600

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Down — $127.41

38791873984189

Up — $0

asdaefef

Down — $6.14

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

MayorMamdani

Up — $0

asidjasiodja

Up — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

asdcaxz

Up — $0

pspspsps5

Up — $0

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