Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 63%
$1.4K
-$11.9
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 74.9¢ | $784.56 | $633.5 | -$151.06 | 52% 8814-8261 (17075) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 50.8¢ | $190.55 | $340.59 | +$150.04 | 57% 72525-55184 (127709) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 56.9¢ | $106.31 | $120.04 | +$13.73 | 48% 4666-5092 (9758) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 66.4¢ | $86.77 | $82.59 | -$4.18 | 51% 10151-9738 (19889) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 61.9¢ | $48.55 | $72.92 | +$24.37 | 55% 18905-15481 (34386) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 58.1¢ | $40.5 | $43.13 | +$5.26 | 64% 25876-14405 (40281) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $8.9 | $20 | +$11.1 | 65% 127092-67893 (194985) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 52.5¢ | $16.69 | $20 | +$3.31 | 54% 46571-38956 (85527) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $10 | $20 | +$10 | 58% 61473-44883 (106356) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 72.8¢ | $14.55 | — | -$12.55 | 51% 20513-19600 (40113) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.9¢ | $47.76 | — | -$47.76 | 45% 12923-15690 (28613) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.1¢ | $4.18 | — | -$4.18 | 61% 96552-60851 (157403) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.1¢ | $9.66 | — | -$9.66 | 66% 127830-65757 (193587) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $1.65 | $5 | +$3.35 | 63% 40961-23579 (64540) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.2¢ | $2.46 | — | -$2.46 | 62% 52916-31783 (84699) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 52% 91907-86301 (178208) |
Invested
$784.56
Value
$633.5
PnL
-$151.06
Record
52%
8814-8261 (17075)
Invested
$190.55
Value
$340.59
PnL
+$150.04
Record
57%
72525-55184 (127709)
Invested
$106.31
Value
$120.04
PnL
+$13.73
Record
48%
4666-5092 (9758)
Invested
$86.77
Value
$82.59
PnL
-$4.18
Record
51%
10151-9738 (19889)
Invested
$48.55
Value
$72.92
PnL
+$24.37
Record
55%
18905-15481 (34386)
Invested
$40.5
Value
$43.13
PnL
+$5.26
Record
64%
25876-14405 (40281)
Invested
$8.9
Value
$20
PnL
+$11.1
Record
65%
127092-67893 (194985)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$16.69
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.31
Record
54%
46571-38956 (85527)
Invested
$10
Value
$20
PnL
+$10
Record
58%
61473-44883 (106356)
Invested
$14.55
Value
—
PnL
-$12.55
Record
51%
20513-19600 (40113)
Invested
$47.76
Value
—
PnL
-$47.76
Record
45%
12923-15690 (28613)
Invested
$4.18
Value
—
PnL
-$4.18
Record
61%
96552-60851 (157403)
Invested
$9.66
Value
—
PnL
-$9.66
Record
66%
127830-65757 (193587)
ohioism<$100Invested
$1.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.35
Record
63%
40961-23579 (64540)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.46
Value
—
PnL
-$2.46
Record
62%
52916-31783 (84699)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
52%
91907-86301 (178208)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down — $633.5
uninformedfloww
Down — $340.59
asdcaxz
Down — $120.04
blue.birds
Down — $82.59
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $72.92
aaa221
Down — $43.13
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $20
MayorMamdani
Down — $20
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $20
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0