Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 75%
$801.16
-$22.91
Smart Money Signal
9 of 13 top traders (69%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $337.19 | $344.07 | +$6.88 | 93% 24866-1838 (26704) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 85.2¢ | $157.2 | $164.19 | +$6.98 | 48% 4685-5102 (9787) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 65.2¢ | $70.08 | $100.17 | +$30.09 | 52% 8826-8271 (17097) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 61.1¢ | $34.76 | $49.01 | +$16.45 | 64% 25897-14422 (40319) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 89.9¢ | $46.84 | $47.53 | +$0.69 | 61% 96578-60871 (157449) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $39.32 | $38 | -$1.32 | 54% 46586-38972 (85558) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 85.2¢ | $15.56 | $17.2 | +$1.64 | 66% 127863-65778 (193641) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Downavg 55.7¢ | $16.7 | $30 | +$13.3 | 35% 19300-36356 (55656) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $10.45 | $11 | +$0.55 | 52% 91929-86332 (178261) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $3.2 | — | -$3.2 | 49% 78739-82359 (161098) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 13.5¢ | $100.78 | — | -$100.78 | 57% 72544-55201 (127745) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.3¢ | $0.72 | — | -$0.72 | 51% 10167-9750 (19917) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.7¢ | $11.2 | — | +$6.53 | 45% 12937-15707 (28644) |
Invested
$337.19
Value
$344.07
PnL
+$6.88
Record
93%
24866-1838 (26704)
Invested
$157.2
Value
$164.19
PnL
+$6.98
Record
48%
4685-5102 (9787)
Invested
$70.08
Value
$100.17
PnL
+$30.09
Record
52%
8826-8271 (17097)
Invested
$34.76
Value
$49.01
PnL
+$16.45
Record
64%
25897-14422 (40319)
Invested
$46.84
Value
$47.53
PnL
+$0.69
Record
61%
96578-60871 (157449)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$39.32
Value
$38
PnL
-$1.32
Record
54%
46586-38972 (85558)
Invested
$15.56
Value
$17.2
PnL
+$1.64
Record
66%
127863-65778 (193641)
Invested
$16.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$13.3
Record
35%
19300-36356 (55656)
Invested
$10.45
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.55
Record
52%
91929-86332 (178261)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.2
Value
—
PnL
-$3.2
Record
49%
78739-82359 (161098)
Invested
$100.78
Value
—
PnL
-$100.78
Record
57%
72544-55201 (127745)
Invested
$0.72
Value
—
PnL
-$0.72
Record
51%
10167-9750 (19917)
Invested
$11.2
Value
—
PnL
+$6.53
Record
45%
12937-15707 (28644)