Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 56%
$873.83
-$191.46
Smart Money Signal
9 of 16 top traders (56%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 63.2¢ | $476.66 | $453.8 | -$22.87 | 52% 8814-8261 (17075) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 51.8¢ | $167.77 | $198.99 | +$31.22 | 48% 4666-5092 (9758) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 47¢ | $126.51 | — | -$126.51 | 57% 72525-55184 (127709) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 68.4¢ | $111.11 | $111 | -$0.11 | 51% 10151-9738 (19889) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 72.7¢ | $50.22 | — | -$48.12 | 64% 25876-14405 (40281) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 80.4¢ | $46.19 | $30.7 | -$15.5 | 54% 46571-38956 (85527) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.8¢ | $11.14 | — | -$11.14 | 61% 96552-60851 (157403) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $19.8 | $20 | +$0.2 | 65% 127092-67893 (194985) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $17.72 | — | -$17.72 | 47% 13021-14584 (27605) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $8.4 | $20 | +$11.6 | 63% 40961-23579 (64540) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $8.4 | $20 | +$11.6 | 58% 61473-44883 (106356) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $8.26 | $14.35 | +$6.09 | 66% 127830-65757 (193587) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $4.08 | — | -$4.08 | 52% 91907-86301 (178208) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 55.7¢ | $5.64 | — | -$5.64 | 51% 20513-19600 (40113) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $2.1 | $5 | +$2.9 | 56% 58994-45564 (104558) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $3.38 | — | -$3.38 | 62% 52916-31783 (84699) |
Invested
$476.66
Value
$453.8
PnL
-$22.87
Record
52%
8814-8261 (17075)
Invested
$167.77
Value
$198.99
PnL
+$31.22
Record
48%
4666-5092 (9758)
Invested
$126.51
Value
—
PnL
-$126.51
Record
57%
72525-55184 (127709)
Invested
$111.11
Value
$111
PnL
-$0.11
Record
51%
10151-9738 (19889)
Invested
$50.22
Value
—
PnL
-$48.12
Record
64%
25876-14405 (40281)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$46.19
Value
$30.7
PnL
-$15.5
Record
54%
46571-38956 (85527)
Invested
$11.14
Value
—
PnL
-$11.14
Record
61%
96552-60851 (157403)
Invested
$19.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.2
Record
65%
127092-67893 (194985)
Invested
$17.72
Value
—
PnL
-$17.72
Record
47%
13021-14584 (27605)
ohioism<$100Invested
$8.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$11.6
Record
63%
40961-23579 (64540)
Invested
$8.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$11.6
Record
58%
61473-44883 (106356)
Invested
$8.26
Value
$14.35
PnL
+$6.09
Record
66%
127830-65757 (193587)
Invested
$4.08
Value
—
PnL
-$4.08
Record
52%
91907-86301 (178208)
Invested
$5.64
Value
—
PnL
-$5.64
Record
51%
20513-19600 (40113)
Invested
$2.1
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.9
Record
56%
58994-45564 (104558)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.38
Value
—
PnL
-$3.38
Record
62%
52916-31783 (84699)