Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 93% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 92%
$1.3K
$61.78
Smart Money Signal
13 of 14 top traders (93%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98.7¢ | $549.41 | $556.56 | +$7.15 | 93% 24866-1838 (26704) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 66.2¢ | $202.05 | $267.5 | +$65.45 | 52% 8826-8271 (17097) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 87.7¢ | $187.19 | $143.18 | -$44.01 | 57% 72544-55201 (127745) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 88.6¢ | $107.7 | $102.15 | -$5.55 | 48% 4685-5102 (9787) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 75.2¢ | $61.43 | $71.37 | +$9.94 | 64% 25897-14422 (40319) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 79.6¢ | $45.39 | $50.95 | +$5.56 | 51% 10167-9750 (19917) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $40.74 | $52.24 | +$11.5 | 49% 78739-82359 (161098) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 83.5¢ | $24.3 | $29.11 | +$4.81 | 61% 96578-60871 (157449) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 85.8¢ | $17.75 | $20.68 | +$2.93 | 62% 52935-31794 (84729) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 85.3¢ | $12.55 | $14.72 | +$2.17 | 66% 127863-65778 (193641) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 87.4¢ | $12.66 | $13.34 | +$0.68 | 52% 91929-86332 (178261) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $6.19 | $6.07 | -$0.12 | 54% 46586-38972 (85558) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.2¢ | $1.98 | — | +$1.28 | 51% 20517-19606 (40123) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $0.01 | $0.01 | +$0 | 63% 40974-23588 (64562) |
Invested
$549.41
Value
$556.56
PnL
+$7.15
Record
93%
24866-1838 (26704)
Invested
$202.05
Value
$267.5
PnL
+$65.45
Record
52%
8826-8271 (17097)
Invested
$187.19
Value
$143.18
PnL
-$44.01
Record
57%
72544-55201 (127745)
Invested
$107.7
Value
$102.15
PnL
-$5.55
Record
48%
4685-5102 (9787)
Invested
$61.43
Value
$71.37
PnL
+$9.94
Record
64%
25897-14422 (40319)
Invested
$45.39
Value
$50.95
PnL
+$5.56
Record
51%
10167-9750 (19917)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$40.74
Value
$52.24
PnL
+$11.5
Record
49%
78739-82359 (161098)
Invested
$24.3
Value
$29.11
PnL
+$4.81
Record
61%
96578-60871 (157449)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$17.75
Value
$20.68
PnL
+$2.93
Record
62%
52935-31794 (84729)
Invested
$12.55
Value
$14.72
PnL
+$2.17
Record
66%
127863-65778 (193641)
Invested
$12.66
Value
$13.34
PnL
+$0.68
Record
52%
91929-86332 (178261)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$6.19
Value
$6.07
PnL
-$0.12
Record
54%
46586-38972 (85558)
Invested
$1.98
Value
—
PnL
+$1.28
Record
51%
20517-19606 (40123)
ohioism<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$0
Record
63%
40974-23588 (64562)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $556.56
ply-pm2
Down — $267.5
uninformedfloww
Down — $143.18
asdcaxz
Down — $102.15
aaa221
Down — $71.37
blue.birds
Down — $50.95
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $52.24
asidjasiodja
Down — $29.11
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $20.68
asdaefef
Down — $14.72