Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Down 86%
$3.4K
$164.42
Smart Money Signal
20 of 24 top traders (83%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 machinelearned | Downavg 91.3¢ | $504.8 | $498.29 | -$6.51 | 55% 9903-8211 (18114) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 85¢ | $467.09 | $451.48 | -$15.61 | 51% 12246-11736 (23982) |
BO bosona | Downavg 76¢ | $285 | $375 | +$90 | 55% 51720-42173 (93893) |
10 1000monkeys | Downavg 60.2¢ | $329.88 | $322.82 | -$7.06 | 59% 11357-7812 (19169) |
AL almach | Downavg 74.1¢ | $233.83 | $315.43 | +$81.6 | 55% 50268-41869 (92137) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 86.5¢ | $272.69 | $315.13 | +$42.44 | 45% 40240-48232 (88472) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 73.3¢ | $250.11 | $254.29 | +$4.18 | 48% 6746-7394 (14140) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 86.4¢ | $211.21 | $244.35 | +$33.14 | 55% 52367-42838 (95205) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 75.8¢ | $166.62 | $192.46 | +$25.84 | 66% 101086-52956 (154042) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 77.8¢ | $71.56 | $91.93 | +$20.37 | 66% 130798-67676 (198474) |
PA Papeasy<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $66.46 | $74.99 | +$8.53 | 49% 4229-4328 (8557) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR<$100 | Upavg 35.7¢ | $52.13 | — | -$52.13 | 54% 16619-14058 (30677) |
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658<$100 | Downavg 49.5¢ | $23.73 | $45.92 | +$22.19 | 52% 10599-9947 (20546) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR | Upavg 53¢ | $106 | — | -$106 | 58% 39867-28830 (68697) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 80.3¢ | $43.63 | $54.34 | +$10.71 | 65% 130470-70278 (200748) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 80.7¢ | $43.43 | $53.82 | +$10.38 | 61% 98748-62704 (161452) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 87.3¢ | $36.68 | $42 | +$5.32 | 55% 51661-42835 (94496) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 81.3¢ | $27.02 | $33.25 | +$6.23 | 49% 81117-84565 (165682) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $27.53 | $17.85 | -$9.68 | 65% 114714-61743 (176457) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100 | Downavg 60.5¢ | $9.68 | $16 | +$6.32 | 52% 10487-9495 (19982) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 87.8¢ | $4.39 | $5 | +$0.61 | 52% 12386-11438 (23824) |
GO GoodFallenCTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $6.5 | — | -$6.5 | 55% 15019-12448 (27467) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99.1¢ | $4.96 | — | +$0.04 | 89% 29513-3559 (33072) |
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 53% 8315-7279 (15594) |
machinelearnedInvested
$504.8
Value
$498.29
PnL
-$6.51
Record
55%
9903-8211 (18114)
Invested
$467.09
Value
$451.48
PnL
-$15.61
Record
51%
12246-11736 (23982)
Invested
$285
Value
$375
PnL
+$90
Record
55%
51720-42173 (93893)
Invested
$329.88
Value
$322.82
PnL
-$7.06
Record
59%
11357-7812 (19169)
Invested
$233.83
Value
$315.43
PnL
+$81.6
Record
55%
50268-41869 (92137)
pspspsps5Invested
$272.69
Value
$315.13
PnL
+$42.44
Record
45%
40240-48232 (88472)
Invested
$250.11
Value
$254.29
PnL
+$4.18
Record
48%
6746-7394 (14140)
Invested
$211.21
Value
$244.35
PnL
+$33.14
Record
55%
52367-42838 (95205)
Invested
$166.62
Value
$192.46
PnL
+$25.84
Record
66%
101086-52956 (154042)
Invested
$71.56
Value
$91.93
PnL
+$20.37
Record
66%
130798-67676 (198474)
Invested
$66.46
Value
$74.99
PnL
+$8.53
Record
49%
4229-4328 (8557)
Invested
$52.13
Value
—
PnL
-$52.13
Record
54%
16619-14058 (30677)
Invested
$23.73
Value
$45.92
PnL
+$22.19
Record
52%
10599-9947 (20546)
Invested
$106
Value
—
PnL
-$106
Record
58%
39867-28830 (68697)
Invested
$43.63
Value
$54.34
PnL
+$10.71
Record
65%
130470-70278 (200748)
Invested
$43.43
Value
$53.82
PnL
+$10.38
Record
61%
98748-62704 (161452)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$36.68
Value
$42
PnL
+$5.32
Record
55%
51661-42835 (94496)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$27.02
Value
$33.25
PnL
+$6.23
Record
49%
81117-84565 (165682)
Invested
$27.53
Value
$17.85
PnL
-$9.68
Record
65%
114714-61743 (176457)
Invested
$9.68
Value
$16
PnL
+$6.32
Record
52%
10487-9495 (19982)
Invested
$4.39
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.61
Record
52%
12386-11438 (23824)
Invested
$6.5
Value
—
PnL
-$6.5
Record
55%
15019-12448 (27467)
Invested
$4.96
Value
—
PnL
+$0.04
Record
89%
29513-3559 (33072)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
8315-7279 (15594)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
machinelearned
Down — $498.29
blue.birds
Down — $451.48
bosona
Down — $375
1000monkeys
Down — $322.82
almach
Down — $315.43
pspspsps5
Down — $315.13
asdcaxz
Down — $254.29
mo-money
Down — $244.35
Bonereaper
Down — $192.46
asdaefef
Down — $91.93