Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Down 95%
$3.4K
$189.5
Smart Money Signal
19 of 21 top traders (90%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH THG. | Downavg 99¢ | $1.7K | $1.7K | +$16.48 | 56% 30419-23644 (54063) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 85.5¢ | $360.08 | $414.08 | +$54 | 45% 40240-48232 (88472) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 74.6¢ | $224.42 | $300.66 | +$76.23 | 66% 101086-52956 (154042) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 85.8¢ | $234.04 | $176.51 | -$57.53 | 55% 9903-8211 (18114) |
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658 | Downavg 76.5¢ | $140.63 | $183.72 | +$43.09 | 52% 10599-9947 (20546) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 83¢ | $88.02 | $106 | +$17.98 | 57% 9968-7456 (17424) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335<$100 | Downavg 70.9¢ | $54.84 | $77.29 | +$22.45 | 52% 10487-9495 (19982) |
PA Papeasy<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $60 | $75 | +$15 | 49% 4229-4328 (8557) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $55.45 | $60.29 | +$4.84 | 66% 130798-67676 (198474) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions<$100 | Downavg 82.6¢ | $49.53 | $60 | +$10.47 | 54% 16619-14058 (30677) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 85.9¢ | $70.09 | $50 | -$20.09 | 51% 12246-11736 (23982) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 81.4¢ | $40.67 | $49.99 | +$9.32 | 55% 51661-42835 (94496) |
10 1000monkeys<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $59.35 | $48 | -$11.35 | 59% 11357-7812 (19169) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93.7¢ | $43.41 | $46.3 | +$2.9 | 61% 98748-62704 (161452) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $14.13 | $14.14 | +$0.01 | 59% 63933-45082 (109015) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 88.9¢ | $8.91 | $10.02 | +$1.11 | 49% 81117-84565 (165682) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 73.4¢ | $7.34 | $10 | +$2.66 | 48% 6746-7394 (14140) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 81.1¢ | $4.06 | $5 | +$0.94 | 52% 12386-11438 (23824) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1.1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 65% 114714-61743 (176457) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $50.96 | — | +$1.04 | 89% 29513-3559 (33072) |
0X 0x18C18e0c8c3154360B4F730eC8B9D8013Ceb2183-1766020654989CTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 53% 8315-7279 (15594) |
Invested
$1,680.64
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$16.48
Record
56%
30419-23644 (54063)
pspspsps5Invested
$360.08
Value
$414.08
PnL
+$54
Record
45%
40240-48232 (88472)
Invested
$224.42
Value
$300.66
PnL
+$76.23
Record
66%
101086-52956 (154042)
machinelearnedInvested
$234.04
Value
$176.51
PnL
-$57.53
Record
55%
9903-8211 (18114)
Invested
$140.63
Value
$183.72
PnL
+$43.09
Record
52%
10599-9947 (20546)
Invested
$88.02
Value
$106
PnL
+$17.98
Record
57%
9968-7456 (17424)
Invested
$54.84
Value
$77.29
PnL
+$22.45
Record
52%
10487-9495 (19982)
Invested
$60
Value
$75
PnL
+$15
Record
49%
4229-4328 (8557)
Invested
$55.45
Value
$60.29
PnL
+$4.84
Record
66%
130798-67676 (198474)
Invested
$49.53
Value
$60
PnL
+$10.47
Record
54%
16619-14058 (30677)
Invested
$70.09
Value
$50
PnL
-$20.09
Record
51%
12246-11736 (23982)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$40.67
Value
$49.99
PnL
+$9.32
Record
55%
51661-42835 (94496)
Invested
$59.35
Value
$48
PnL
-$11.35
Record
59%
11357-7812 (19169)
Invested
$43.41
Value
$46.3
PnL
+$2.9
Record
61%
98748-62704 (161452)
Invested
$14.13
Value
$14.14
PnL
+$0.01
Record
59%
63933-45082 (109015)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$8.91
Value
$10.02
PnL
+$1.11
Record
49%
81117-84565 (165682)
Invested
$7.34
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.66
Record
48%
6746-7394 (14140)
Invested
$4.06
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.94
Record
52%
12386-11438 (23824)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
65%
114714-61743 (176457)
Invested
$50.96
Value
—
PnL
+$1.04
Record
89%
29513-3559 (33072)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
8315-7279 (15594)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
THG.
Down — $1.7K
pspspsps5
Down — $414.08
Bonereaper
Down — $300.66
machinelearned
Down — $176.51
0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658
Down — $183.72
wzbbb
Down — $106
0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335
Down — $77.29
Papeasy
Down — $75
asdaefef
Down — $60.29
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $60