Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 86%

Total Value

$4.1K

Combined PnL

-$92.77

Smart Money Signal

32 of 37 top traders (86%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up32 traders

Total Value$4.1K

Total Shares4,066

Combined PnL-$24.73

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares303

Combined PnL-$68.05

Up — 86%Down — 14%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
machinelearned	Upavg 94¢	$539.09	$472	-$67.09	55% 9852-8159 (18011)
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 76.3¢	$373.02	$489.2	+$116.19	66% 101027-52913 (153940)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 93.4¢	$505.02	$401.26	-$103.75	56% 15898-12511 (28409)
PL ply-pm0	Upavg 88.8¢	$442.03	$395.39	-$46.64	50% 6373-6381 (12754)
pspspsps5	Upavg 96.4¢	$451.71	$329.52	-$122.19	46% 40118-48047 (88165)
10 1000monkeys	Upavg 71.7¢	$245.31	$247.48	+$2.17	59% 11289-7746 (19035)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 92.4¢	$159.2	$163.63	+$4.43	51% 12098-11574 (23672)
FairValueMachine	Upavg 72.1¢	$93.69	$130	+$36.31	54% 13670-11687 (25357)
AL almach	Upavg 93.5¢	$156.82	$124	-$32.82	55% 50160-41769 (91929)
BO bosona	Upavg 93.5¢	$146.94	$124	-$22.94	55% 51695-42149 (93844)
AS asdcaxz	Upavg 80.6¢	$102.46	$121.39	+$18.93	47% 6557-7261 (13818)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 71.8¢	$116.79	$123.43	+$6.64	54% 16571-14006 (30577)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$107.91	$108.01	+$0.1	59% 63899-45032 (108931)
GO GoodFallen	Upavg 59.2¢	$65.16	$110.11	+$44.95	55% 14950-12418 (27368)
HS Hsilverbasher<$100	Upavg 92¢	$73.6	$80	+$6.4	12% 18915-134167 (153082)
PA Papeasy<$100	Upavg 92¢	$69	$75	+$6	49% 4183-4283 (8466)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 77.3¢	$63.43	$82.02	+$18.59	57% 9923-7422 (17345)
MO mo-money<$100	Upavg 92¢	$57.2	$62	+$4.8	55% 52350-42822 (95172)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 66.4¢	$42	$61.38	+$19.38	66% 130591-67529 (198120)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 68.4¢	$36.28	$53.04	+$16.76	61% 98614-62609 (161223)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 96.4¢	$44.64	$41	-$3.64	55% 51661-42834 (94495)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 83.4¢	$34.02	$40.78	+$6.76	74% 105078-37083 (142161)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Downavg 56.1¢	$32.75	—	-$32.75	56% 8800-6875 (15675)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 61.7¢	$34.44	$55.83	+$21.4	65% 130293-70158 (200451)
x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100	Upavg 60.8¢	$33.6	$55.31	+$21.71	52% 21108-19265 (40373)

machinelearned

Invested

$539.09

Value

$472

PnL

-$67.09

Record

55%

9852-8159 (18011)

Bonereaper

Invested

$373.02

Value

$489.2

PnL

+$116.19

Record

66%

101027-52913 (153940)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$505.02

Value

$401.26

PnL

-$103.75

Record

56%

15898-12511 (28409)

ply-pm0

Invested

$442.03

Value

$395.39

PnL

-$46.64

Record

50%

6373-6381 (12754)

pspspsps5

Invested

$451.71

Value

$329.52

PnL

-$122.19

Record

46%

40118-48047 (88165)

1000monkeys

Invested

$245.31

Value

$247.48

PnL

+$2.17

Record

59%

11289-7746 (19035)

blue.birds

Invested

$159.2

Value

$163.63

PnL

+$4.43

Record

51%

12098-11574 (23672)

FairValueMachine

Invested

$93.69

Value

$130

PnL

+$36.31

Record

54%

13670-11687 (25357)

almach

Invested

$156.82

Value

$124

PnL

-$32.82

Record

55%

50160-41769 (91929)

bosona

Invested

$146.94

Value

$124

PnL

-$22.94

Record

55%

51695-42149 (93844)

asdcaxz

Invested

$102.46

Value

$121.39

PnL

+$18.93

Record

47%

6557-7261 (13818)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$116.79

Value

$123.43

PnL

+$6.64

Record

54%

16571-14006 (30577)

0x50f7

Invested

$107.91

Value

$108.01

PnL

+$0.1

Record

59%

63899-45032 (108931)

GoodFallen

Invested

$65.16

Value

$110.11

PnL

+$44.95

Record

55%

14950-12418 (27368)

Hsilverbasher<$100

Invested

$73.6

Value

$80

PnL

+$6.4

Record

12%

18915-134167 (153082)

Papeasy<$100

Invested

$69

Value

$75

PnL

+$6

Record

49%

4183-4283 (8466)

wzbbb<$100

Invested

$63.43

Value

$82.02

PnL

+$18.59

Record

57%

9923-7422 (17345)

mo-money<$100

Invested

$57.2

Value

$62

PnL

+$4.8

Record

55%

52350-42822 (95172)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$42

Value

$61.38

PnL

+$19.38

Record

66%

130591-67529 (198120)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$36.28

Value

$53.04

PnL

+$16.76

Record

61%

98614-62609 (161223)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$44.64

Value

$41

PnL

-$3.64

Record

55%

51661-42834 (94495)

BoneOhio<$100

Invested

$34.02

Value

$40.78

PnL

+$6.76

Record

74%

105078-37083 (142161)

13897651CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$32.75

Value

—

PnL

-$32.75

Record

56%

8800-6875 (15675)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$34.44

Value

$55.83

PnL

+$21.4

Record

65%

130293-70158 (200451)

x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100

Invested

$33.6

Value

$55.31

PnL

+$21.71

Record

52%

21108-19265 (40373)

Smart Money Signal

32 of 37 top traders (86%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%22 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x5c3eb1b7...8041df

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794013200

Traders in this Market

machinelearned

Up — $472

-$67.09

Bonereaper

Up — $489.2

+$116.19

CrouchPredictions

Up — $401.26

-$103.75

ply-pm0

Up — $395.39

-$46.64

pspspsps5

Up — $329.52

-$122.19

1000monkeys

Up — $247.48

+$2.17

blue.birds

Up — $163.63

+$4.43

FairValueMachine

Up — $130

+$36.31

almach

Up — $124

-$32.82

bosona

Up — $124

-$22.94

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