Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 74% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 76%

Total Value

$8.5K

Combined PnL

$142.56

Smart Money Signal

29 of 39 top traders (74%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up29 traders

Total Value$8.5K

Total Shares8,472

Combined PnL+$491.32

Down10 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,240

Combined PnL-$348.76

Up — 74%Down — 26%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 89.6¢	$2.2K	$2.2K	+$22.52	66% 101009-52902 (153911)
cryingbabydicer87	Upavg 99.7¢	$797.2	$800	+$2.8	48% 10586-11258 (21844)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 71.2¢	$661.13	$694.33	+$33.19	54% 16556-13980 (30536)
pspspsps5	Upavg 98.2¢	$661.84	$623.35	-$38.49	45% 40054-47988 (88042)
AL almach	Upavg 76.1¢	$442.42	$581.06	+$138.64	55% 50160-41768 (91928)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99¢	$543.51	$549	+$5.49	89% 29269-3554 (32823)
BO bosona	Upavg 76¢	$380	$500	+$120	55% 51681-42136 (93817)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$305.71	$306.02	+$0.31	59% 63885-45013 (108898)
MO mo-money	Upavg 80.6¢	$214.45	$265.97	+$51.52	55% 52205-42637 (94842)
ST stepahead	Upavg 54.5¢	$218.52	$239.99	+$21.47	54% 10134-8485 (18619)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 70.7¢	$256.22	$239.39	-$16.83	56% 15897-12509 (28406)
10 1000monkeys	Upavg 65.7¢	$209.63	$223	+$13.37	59% 11259-7721 (18980)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 78.3¢	$190.1	$207.08	+$16.98	51% 12042-11506 (23548)
PL ply-pm0CTR	Downavg 18.6¢	$215.63	—	-$215.63	50% 6263-6235 (12498)
machinelearned	Upavg 76.9¢	$163.44	$181.07	+$17.64	55% 9821-8147 (17968)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 92¢	$232.66	$175.75	-$56.91	63% 60874-35322 (96196)
WZ wzbbb	Upavg 70.1¢	$141.43	$164.31	+$22.88	57% 9906-7412 (17318)
13 13897651CTR	Downavg 57.8¢	$137.61	—	-$137.61	56% 8764-6844 (15608)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 68¢	$51.13	$73.61	+$22.48	61% 98563-62545 (161108)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 65.1¢	$46.45	$69.18	+$22.73	66% 130591-67529 (198120)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 78.2¢	$58.68	$75	+$16.32	63% 42413-25111 (67524)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 79.2¢	$57.43	$72.51	+$15.08	74% 105052-37068 (142120)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 73.4¢	$37.52	$49.64	+$12.12	65% 130212-70100 (200312)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 65¢	$39.99	$61.56	+$21.57	65% 114545-61579 (176124)
GA gansinimen<$100	Upavg 73¢	$26.51	$36.31	+$9.8	51% 17650-17049 (34699)

Bonereaper

Invested

$2,165.44

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$22.52

Record

66%

101009-52902 (153911)

cryingbabydicer87

Invested

$797.2

Value

$800

PnL

+$2.8

Record

48%

10586-11258 (21844)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$661.13

Value

$694.33

PnL

+$33.19

Record

54%

16556-13980 (30536)

pspspsps5

Invested

$661.84

Value

$623.35

PnL

-$38.49

Record

45%

40054-47988 (88042)

almach

Invested

$442.42

Value

$581.06

PnL

+$138.64

Record

55%

50160-41768 (91928)

hoodquant

Invested

$543.51

Value

$549

PnL

+$5.49

Record

89%

29269-3554 (32823)

bosona

Invested

$380

Value

$500

PnL

+$120

Record

55%

51681-42136 (93817)

0x50f7

Invested

$305.71

Value

$306.02

PnL

+$0.31

Record

59%

63885-45013 (108898)

mo-money

Invested

$214.45

Value

$265.97

PnL

+$51.52

Record

55%

52205-42637 (94842)

stepahead

Invested

$218.52

Value

$239.99

PnL

+$21.47

Record

54%

10134-8485 (18619)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$256.22

Value

$239.39

PnL

-$16.83

Record

56%

15897-12509 (28406)

1000monkeys

Invested

$209.63

Value

$223

PnL

+$13.37

Record

59%

11259-7721 (18980)

blue.birds

Invested

$190.1

Value

$207.08

PnL

+$16.98

Record

51%

12042-11506 (23548)

ply-pm0CTR

Down

Invested

$215.63

Value

—

PnL

-$215.63

Record

50%

6263-6235 (12498)

machinelearned

Invested

$163.44

Value

$181.07

PnL

+$17.64

Record

55%

9821-8147 (17968)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$232.66

Value

$175.75

PnL

-$56.91

Record

63%

60874-35322 (96196)

wzbbb

Invested

$141.43

Value

$164.31

PnL

+$22.88

Record

57%

9906-7412 (17318)

13897651CTR

Down

Invested

$137.61

Value

—

PnL

-$137.61

Record

56%

8764-6844 (15608)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$51.13

Value

$73.61

PnL

+$22.48

Record

61%

98563-62545 (161108)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$46.45

Value

$69.18

PnL

+$22.73

Record

66%

130591-67529 (198120)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$58.68

Value

$75

PnL

+$16.32

Record

63%

42413-25111 (67524)

BoneOhio<$100

Invested

$57.43

Value

$72.51

PnL

+$15.08

Record

74%

105052-37068 (142120)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$37.52

Value

$49.64

PnL

+$12.12

Record

65%

130212-70100 (200312)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$39.99

Value

$61.56

PnL

+$21.57

Record

65%

114545-61579 (176124)

gansinimen<$100

Invested

$26.51

Value

$36.31

PnL

+$9.8

Record

51%

17650-17049 (34699)

Smart Money Signal

29 of 39 top traders (74%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x7524b3d9...1ae6df

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794002400

Traders in this Market

Bonereaper

Up — $2.2K

+$22.52

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $800

+$2.8

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $694.33

+$33.19

pspspsps5

Up — $623.35

-$38.49

almach

Up — $581.06

+$138.64

hoodquant

Up — $549

+$5.49

bosona

Up — $500

+$120

0x50f7

Up — $306.02

+$0.31

mo-money

Up — $265.97

+$51.52

stepahead

Up — $239.99

+$21.47

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