Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 80%

Total Value

$7.7K

Combined PnL

$325.85

Smart Money Signal

29 of 37 top traders (78%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up29 traders

Total Value$7.7K

Total Shares7,679

Combined PnL+$432.75

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares539

Combined PnL-$106.9

Up — 78%Down — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BO Bonereaper	Upavg 96.5¢	$2.1K	$2.1K	-$15.17	66% 101009-52902 (153911)
cryingbabydicer87	Upavg 99.6¢	$838.45	$841.5	+$3.05	48% 10586-11258 (21844)
BO bosona	Upavg 89.2¢	$736.46	$821.19	+$84.73	55% 51681-42136 (93817)
AL almach	Upavg 86.7¢	$537.63	$617.56	+$79.93	55% 50160-41768 (91928)
MO mo-money	Upavg 84.4¢	$507.9	$600.04	+$92.14	55% 52205-42637 (94842)
10 1000monkeys	Upavg 75.8¢	$339.93	$346.51	+$6.58	59% 11259-7721 (18980)
pspspsps5	Upavg 86.9¢	$273.51	$309.68	+$36.17	45% 40054-47988 (88042)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 94.7¢	$377.45	$291.32	-$6.84	63% 60874-35322 (96196)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 99.1¢	$254.68	$256.99	+$2.31	89% 29269-3554 (32823)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Upavg 86.5¢	$230.49	$201.67	-$28.82	54% 16556-13980 (30536)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658	Upavg 63.4¢	$137.7	$217.08	+$79.38	52% 10531-9879 (20410)
BL blue.birds	Upavg 88.8¢	$157.06	$162.51	+$5.45	51% 12042-11506 (23548)
ST stepahead	Upavg 53.7¢	$154.75	$151.1	-$3.65	54% 10134-8485 (18619)
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$107.91	$108.01	+$0.1	59% 63885-45013 (108898)
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR<$100	Downavg 51.8¢	$98.25	—	-$98.25	53% 10420-9427 (19847)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 84.9¢	$74.23	$71.68	-$2.55	47% 6494-7195 (13689)
FairValueMachine<$100	Upavg 76.5¢	$47.12	$54.99	+$7.86	54% 13637-11679 (25316)
machinelearned<$100	Upavg 89.3¢	$51.55	$54	+$2.45	55% 9821-8147 (17968)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 56.4¢	$45.86	$81.29	+$35.43	56% 8764-6844 (15608)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 83.3¢	$44.71	$53.64	+$8.93	56% 77369-59755 (137124)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 87.9¢	$44.4	$50.53	+$6.13	49% 80931-84364 (165295)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 91.7¢	$40.72	$44.43	+$3.71	61% 98563-62545 (161108)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 82.1¢	$42.05	$51.23	+$9.18	65% 130212-70100 (200312)
WZ wzbbb<$100	Upavg 85.9¢	$34.36	$40	+$5.64	57% 9906-7412 (17318)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 73.1¢	$30.17	$41.28	+$11.11	65% 114545-61579 (176124)

Bonereaper

Invested

$2,134.87

Value

$2.1K

PnL

-$15.17

Record

66%

101009-52902 (153911)

cryingbabydicer87

Invested

$838.45

Value

$841.5

PnL

+$3.05

Record

48%

10586-11258 (21844)

bosona

Invested

$736.46

Value

$821.19

PnL

+$84.73

Record

55%

51681-42136 (93817)

almach

Invested

$537.63

Value

$617.56

PnL

+$79.93

Record

55%

50160-41768 (91928)

mo-money

Invested

$507.9

Value

$600.04

PnL

+$92.14

Record

55%

52205-42637 (94842)

1000monkeys

Invested

$339.93

Value

$346.51

PnL

+$6.58

Record

59%

11259-7721 (18980)

pspspsps5

Invested

$273.51

Value

$309.68

PnL

+$36.17

Record

45%

40054-47988 (88042)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$377.45

Value

$291.32

PnL

-$6.84

Record

63%

60874-35322 (96196)

hoodquant

Invested

$254.68

Value

$256.99

PnL

+$2.31

Record

89%

29269-3554 (32823)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Invested

$230.49

Value

$201.67

PnL

-$28.82

Record

54%

16556-13980 (30536)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Invested

$137.7

Value

$217.08

PnL

+$79.38

Record

52%

10531-9879 (20410)

blue.birds

Invested

$157.06

Value

$162.51

PnL

+$5.45

Record

51%

12042-11506 (23548)

stepahead

Invested

$154.75

Value

$151.1

PnL

-$3.65

Record

54%

10134-8485 (18619)

0x50f7

Invested

$107.91

Value

$108.01

PnL

+$0.1

Record

59%

63885-45013 (108898)

0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335CTR<$100

Down

Invested

$98.25

Value

—

PnL

-$98.25

Record

53%

10420-9427 (19847)

asdcaxz<$100

Invested

$74.23

Value

$71.68

PnL

-$2.55

Record

47%

6494-7195 (13689)

FairValueMachine<$100

Invested

$47.12

Value

$54.99

PnL

+$7.86

Record

54%

13637-11679 (25316)

machinelearned<$100

Invested

$51.55

Value

$54

PnL

+$2.45

Record

55%

9821-8147 (17968)

13897651<$100

Invested

$45.86

Value

$81.29

PnL

+$35.43

Record

56%

8764-6844 (15608)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$44.71

Value

$53.64

PnL

+$8.93

Record

56%

77369-59755 (137124)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$44.4

Value

$50.53

PnL

+$6.13

Record

49%

80931-84364 (165295)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$40.72

Value

$44.43

PnL

+$3.71

Record

61%

98563-62545 (161108)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$42.05

Value

$51.23

PnL

+$9.18

Record

65%

130212-70100 (200312)

wzbbb<$100

Invested

$34.36

Value

$40

PnL

+$5.64

Record

57%

9906-7412 (17318)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$30.17

Value

$41.28

PnL

+$11.11

Record

65%

114545-61579 (176124)

Smart Money Signal

29 of 37 top traders (78%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%23 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x3c0be592...b83fb0

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794002100

Traders in this Market

Bonereaper

Up — $2.1K

-$15.17

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $841.5

+$3.05

bosona

Up — $821.19

+$84.73

almach

Up — $617.56

+$79.93

mo-money

Up — $600.04

+$92.14

1000monkeys

Up — $346.51

+$6.58

pspspsps5

Up — $309.68

+$36.17

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $291.32

-$6.84

hoodquant

Up — $256.99

+$2.31

dangerously-skip-permissions

Up — $201.67

-$28.82

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