Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Resolved Down. 85% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 88%

Total Value

$9.6K

Combined PnL

$748.21

Smart Money Signal

Down

28 of 33 top traders (85%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down28 traders

Total Value$9.6K

Total Shares9,604

Combined PnL+$885.57

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares485

Combined PnL-$137.36

Down — 85%Up — 15%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BO Bonereaper	Downavg 95.4¢	$3.3K	$3.4K	+$95.64	66% 101009-52902 (153911)
BO bosona	Downavg 86.6¢	$788.25	$900.29	+$112.04	55% 51681-42136 (93817)
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 82.6¢	$894.53	$875.4	-$19.13	56% 15897-12509 (28406)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 98¢	$701.74	$716	+$14.26	89% 29269-3554 (32823)
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 57.2¢	$419.6	$525.16	+$105.56	54% 16556-13980 (30536)
MO mo-money	Downavg 87¢	$433.05	$487.48	+$54.43	55% 52205-42637 (94842)
BL blue.birds	Downavg 83.5¢	$349.59	$345.76	-$3.83	51% 12042-11506 (23548)
machinelearned	Downavg 76.4¢	$229.23	$278.11	+$48.88	55% 9821-8147 (17968)
0X 0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658	Downavg 71.6¢	$190.95	$238.2	+$47.24	52% 10531-9879 (20410)
GO GoodFallen	Downavg 53.2¢	$158.16	$235.39	+$77.24	55% 14924-12403 (27327)
AS asdcaxz	Downavg 75.8¢	$218.75	$212.4	-$6.35	47% 6494-7195 (13689)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 61.8¢	$136.61	$199.99	+$63.37	50% 6263-6235 (12498)
10 1000monkeys	Downavg 71.4¢	$153.31	$189.66	+$36.35	59% 11259-7721 (18980)
WZ wzbbb	Downavg 71.3¢	$145.3	$203.69	+$58.39	57% 9906-7412 (17318)
FairValueMachine	Downavg 68.7¢	$78.6	$114.44	+$35.83	54% 13637-11679 (25316)
AL almach<$100	Downavg 87¢	$71.82	$79.8	+$7.98	55% 50160-41768 (91928)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 70.5¢	$53.46	$75.8	+$22.34	66% 130591-67529 (198120)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$73.98	$74.05	+$0.07	59% 63885-45013 (108898)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 47.7¢	$30.88	$64.77	+$33.89	65% 114545-61579 (176124)
PA Papeasy<$100	Downavg 70¢	$63.75	$75	+$11.25	49% 4160-4265 (8425)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 90.4¢	$53.26	$54.9	+$1.64	63% 60874-35322 (96196)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 73.5¢	$46.99	$63.97	+$16.98	61% 98563-62545 (161108)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 42.4¢	$43.97	—	-$43.97	49% 80931-84364 (165295)
x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100	Downavg 81.7¢	$34.21	$32.37	-$1.84	52% 21086-19246 (40332)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 68.1¢	$34.42	$50.52	+$16.1	61% 46056-29221 (75277)

Bonereaper

Down

Invested

$3,274.39

Value

$3.4K

PnL

+$95.64

Record

66%

101009-52902 (153911)

bosona

Down

Invested

$788.25

Value

$900.29

PnL

+$112.04

Record

55%

51681-42136 (93817)

CrouchPredictions

Down

Invested

$894.53

Value

$875.4

PnL

-$19.13

Record

56%

15897-12509 (28406)

hoodquant

Down

Invested

$701.74

Value

$716

PnL

+$14.26

Record

89%

29269-3554 (32823)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$419.6

Value

$525.16

PnL

+$105.56

Record

54%

16556-13980 (30536)

mo-money

Down

Invested

$433.05

Value

$487.48

PnL

+$54.43

Record

55%

52205-42637 (94842)

blue.birds

Down

Invested

$349.59

Value

$345.76

PnL

-$3.83

Record

51%

12042-11506 (23548)

machinelearned

Down

Invested

$229.23

Value

$278.11

PnL

+$48.88

Record

55%

9821-8147 (17968)

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Down

Invested

$190.95

Value

$238.2

PnL

+$47.24

Record

52%

10531-9879 (20410)

GoodFallen

Down

Invested

$158.16

Value

$235.39

PnL

+$77.24

Record

55%

14924-12403 (27327)

asdcaxz

Down

Invested

$218.75

Value

$212.4

PnL

-$6.35

Record

47%

6494-7195 (13689)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$136.61

Value

$199.99

PnL

+$63.37

Record

50%

6263-6235 (12498)

1000monkeys

Down

Invested

$153.31

Value

$189.66

PnL

+$36.35

Record

59%

11259-7721 (18980)

wzbbb

Down

Invested

$145.3

Value

$203.69

PnL

+$58.39

Record

57%

9906-7412 (17318)

FairValueMachine

Down

Invested

$78.6

Value

$114.44

PnL

+$35.83

Record

54%

13637-11679 (25316)

almach<$100

Down

Invested

$71.82

Value

$79.8

PnL

+$7.98

Record

55%

50160-41768 (91928)

asdaefef<$100

Down

Invested

$53.46

Value

$75.8

PnL

+$22.34

Record

66%

130591-67529 (198120)

0x50f7<$100

Down

Invested

$73.98

Value

$74.05

PnL

+$0.07

Record

59%

63885-45013 (108898)

antsaslyku<$100

Down

Invested

$30.88

Value

$64.77

PnL

+$33.89

Record

65%

114545-61579 (176124)

Papeasy<$100

Down

Invested

$63.75

Value

$75

PnL

+$11.25

Record

49%

4160-4265 (8425)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Down

Invested

$53.26

Value

$54.9

PnL

+$1.64

Record

63%

60874-35322 (96196)

asidjasiodja<$100

Down

Invested

$46.99

Value

$63.97

PnL

+$16.98

Record

61%

98563-62545 (161108)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$43.97

Value

—

PnL

-$43.97

Record

49%

80931-84364 (165295)

x-MoneyForWhiskas<$100

Down

Invested

$34.21

Value

$32.37

PnL

-$1.84

Record

52%

21086-19246 (40332)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Down

Invested

$34.42

Value

$50.52

PnL

+$16.1

Record

61%

46056-29221 (75277)

Smart Money Signal

Down

28 of 33 top traders (85%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x705ac18e...e89cdb

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1794000600

Traders in this Market

Bonereaper

Down — $3.4K

+$95.64

bosona

Down — $900.29

+$112.04

CrouchPredictions

Down — $875.4

-$19.13

hoodquant

Down — $716

+$14.26

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $525.16

+$105.56

mo-money

Down — $487.48

+$54.43

blue.birds

Down — $345.76

-$3.83

machinelearned

Down — $278.11

+$48.88

0xB129a54d3b23214728Dcc544034fc83067CD890C-1780260877658

Down — $238.2

+$47.24

GoodFallen

Down — $235.39

+$77.24

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