Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
31
Down 93%
$9.8K
$983.68
Smart Money Signal
28 of 31 top traders (90%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 91.4¢ | $2.1K | $2.2K | +$114.27 | 66% 101009-52902 (153911) |
GA gansinimen | Downavg 81¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$150.87 | 51% 17650-17049 (34699) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 95.6¢ | $854.25 | $893.99 | +$39.74 | 89% 29269-3554 (32823) |
 machinelearned | Downavg 81.9¢ | $703 | $833.74 | +$130.74 | 55% 9821-8147 (17968) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 76.6¢ | $601.15 | $700.8 | +$99.65 | 50% 6263-6235 (12498) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 79.3¢ | $367.71 | $463.98 | +$96.26 | 56% 15897-12509 (28406) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 86.4¢ | $460.23 | $462.79 | +$2.56 | 51% 12042-11506 (23548) |
 pspspsps5 | Downavg 83.5¢ | $407.8 | $488.51 | +$80.71 | 45% 40054-47988 (88042) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Downavg 83.6¢ | $421.85 | $400 | -$21.85 | 54% 16556-13980 (30536) |
10 1000monkeys | Downavg 64.8¢ | $253.74 | $332.29 | +$78.55 | 59% 11259-7721 (18980) |
 MayorMamdani | Downavg 86.8¢ | $277.75 | $319.86 | +$42.11 | 55% 51651-42826 (94477) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 80.5¢ | $183.74 | $228.34 | +$44.6 | 56% 77369-59755 (137124) |
GO GoodFallen | Downavg 77.5¢ | $207.99 | $183.4 | -$24.59 | 55% 14924-12403 (27327) |
0X 0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335 | Downavg 62.5¢ | $136.65 | $154.76 | +$18.11 | 53% 10420-9427 (19847) |
WZ wzbbb | Downavg 85.4¢ | $148.35 | $163.71 | +$15.36 | 57% 9906-7412 (17318) |
 x-MoneyForWhiskas | Downavg 76.5¢ | $126.05 | $146.77 | +$20.72 | 52% 21086-19246 (40332) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Downavg 83.1¢ | $83.32 | $100.22 | +$16.9 | 49% 80931-84364 (165295) |
 FairValueMachine<$100 | Downavg 79.5¢ | $98.24 | $80 | +$61.76 | 54% 13637-11679 (25316) |
PA Papeasy<$100 | Downavg 82.7¢ | $78.5 | $82.5 | +$4 | 49% 4160-4265 (8425) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $71.2 | $80 | +$8.8 | 12% 18907-134161 (153068) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 88.1¢ | $62.53 | $65 | +$2.47 | 61% 46056-29221 (75277) |
 OhioAI<$100 | Downavg 71.2¢ | $39.86 | $56 | +$16.14 | 54% 10457-8806 (19263) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 85.9¢ | $37.75 | $43.94 | +$6.18 | 66% 130591-67529 (198120) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $24.74 | — | -$24.74 | 67% 22484-10826 (33310) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 78.6¢ | $39.62 | $50.41 | +$10.79 | 65% 130212-70100 (200312) |
Invested
$2,107.39
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$114.27
Record
66%
101009-52902 (153911)
Invested
$1,053.53
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$150.87
Record
51%
17650-17049 (34699)
Invested
$854.25
Value
$893.99
PnL
+$39.74
Record
89%
29269-3554 (32823)
machinelearnedInvested
$703
Value
$833.74
PnL
+$130.74
Record
55%
9821-8147 (17968)
Invested
$601.15
Value
$700.8
PnL
+$99.65
Record
50%
6263-6235 (12498)
Invested
$367.71
Value
$463.98
PnL
+$96.26
Record
56%
15897-12509 (28406)
Invested
$460.23
Value
$462.79
PnL
+$2.56
Record
51%
12042-11506 (23548)
pspspsps5Invested
$407.8
Value
$488.51
PnL
+$80.71
Record
45%
40054-47988 (88042)
Invested
$421.85
Value
$400
PnL
-$21.85
Record
54%
16556-13980 (30536)
Invested
$253.74
Value
$332.29
PnL
+$78.55
Record
59%
11259-7721 (18980)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$277.75
Value
$319.86
PnL
+$42.11
Record
55%
51651-42826 (94477)
Invested
$183.74
Value
$228.34
PnL
+$44.6
Record
56%
77369-59755 (137124)
Invested
$207.99
Value
$183.4
PnL
-$24.59
Record
55%
14924-12403 (27327)
Invested
$136.65
Value
$154.76
PnL
+$18.11
Record
53%
10420-9427 (19847)
Invested
$148.35
Value
$163.71
PnL
+$15.36
Record
57%
9906-7412 (17318)
x-MoneyForWhiskasInvested
$126.05
Value
$146.77
PnL
+$20.72
Record
52%
21086-19246 (40332)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$83.32
Value
$100.22
PnL
+$16.9
Record
49%
80931-84364 (165295)
FairValueMachine<$100Invested
$98.24
Value
$80
PnL
+$61.76
Record
54%
13637-11679 (25316)
Invested
$78.5
Value
$82.5
PnL
+$4
Record
49%
4160-4265 (8425)
Invested
$71.2
Value
$80
PnL
+$8.8
Record
12%
18907-134161 (153068)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$62.53
Value
$65
PnL
+$2.47
Record
61%
46056-29221 (75277)
OhioAI<$100Invested
$39.86
Value
$56
PnL
+$16.14
Record
54%
10457-8806 (19263)
Invested
$37.75
Value
$43.94
PnL
+$6.18
Record
66%
130591-67529 (198120)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$24.74
Value
—
PnL
-$24.74
Record
67%
22484-10826 (33310)
Invested
$39.62
Value
$50.41
PnL
+$10.79
Record
65%
130212-70100 (200312)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Bonereaper
Down — $2.2K
gansinimen
Down — $1.2K
hoodquant
Down — $893.99
machinelearned
Down — $833.74
ply-pm0
Down — $700.8
CrouchPredictions
Down — $463.98
blue.birds
Down — $462.79
pspspsps5
Down — $488.51
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down — $400
1000monkeys
Down — $332.29