Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 96% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Up 100%
$8.3K
$423.89
Smart Money Signal
24 of 25 top traders (96%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() BoneOhio | Upavg 98.9¢ | $3.6K | $3.6K | +$41 | 74% 103028-36547 (139575) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $2.2K | $2.2K | +$2.16 | 59% 62654-43738 (106392) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 82.5¢ | $552.52 | $627.04 | +$74.52 | 56% 14907-11713 (26620) |
![]() machinelearned | Upavg 79.2¢ | $409.91 | $500.63 | +$90.71 | 55% 8953-7389 (16342) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 80¢ | $255.33 | $263.61 | +$8.28 | 50% 5575-5636 (11211) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 85.5¢ | $185.3 | $181.06 | -$4.24 | 60% 12572-8347 (20919) |
LI Little-big | Upavg 65.1¢ | $127.53 | $195.88 | +$68.35 | 35% 19111-36114 (55225) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 93.2¢ | $84.35 | $90.53 | +$6.18 | 49% 78487-82044 (160531) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 58.5¢ | $69.86 | $119.34 | +$49.48 | 56% 8331-6467 (14798) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 77.5¢ | $81.56 | $105.22 | +$23.66 | 55% 7780-6363 (14143) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 92.6¢ | $70.38 | $71.94 | +$1.56 | 52% 91284-85731 (177015) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 85.3¢ | $68.99 | $80.91 | +$11.92 | 46% 38658-45730 (84388) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 80.9¢ | $60.99 | $75.39 | +$14.4 | 55% 24166-19500 (43666) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 84.5¢ | $42.25 | $50 | +$7.75 | 58% 61065-44595 (105660) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 91.2¢ | $33.91 | $35.73 | +$2.07 | 61% 96010-60519 (156529) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Upavg 99.5¢ | $29.94 | $30 | +$0.06 | 64% 58887-33445 (92332) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 96.4¢ | $30.03 | $29.32 | -$0.71 | 66% 127066-65377 (192443) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $30 | $40 | +$10 | 64% 40618-23301 (63919) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | $17.82 | $20.72 | +$2.91 | 55% 45979-38324 (84303) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 83.3¢ | $28.42 | $18.5 | +$5.56 | 64% 24825-13713 (38538) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $12.76 | $13.57 | +$0.81 | 56% 58613-45263 (103876) |
PA Parad0X<$100 | Upavg 50.5¢ | $5 | $9.9 | +$4.9 | 56% 2299-1791 (4090) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 75¢ | $4.69 | $6.25 | +$1.56 | 65% 112549-59391 (171940) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $4.3 | $5.31 | +$1.01 | 55% 18348-14925 (33273) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3698-2861 (6559) |
BoneOhioInvested
$3,559
Value
$3.6K
PnL
+$41
Record
74%
103028-36547 (139575)
Invested
$2,153.47
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$2.16
Record
59%
62654-43738 (106392)
Invested
$552.52
Value
$627.04
PnL
+$74.52
Record
56%
14907-11713 (26620)
machinelearnedInvested
$409.91
Value
$500.63
PnL
+$90.71
Record
55%
8953-7389 (16342)
Invested
$255.33
Value
$263.61
PnL
+$8.28
Record
50%
5575-5636 (11211)
Invested
$185.3
Value
$181.06
PnL
-$4.24
Record
60%
12572-8347 (20919)
Invested
$127.53
Value
$195.88
PnL
+$68.35
Record
35%
19111-36114 (55225)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$84.35
Value
$90.53
PnL
+$6.18
Record
49%
78487-82044 (160531)
Invested
$69.86
Value
$119.34
PnL
+$49.48
Record
56%
8331-6467 (14798)
Invested
$81.56
Value
$105.22
PnL
+$23.66
Record
55%
7780-6363 (14143)
Invested
$70.38
Value
$71.94
PnL
+$1.56
Record
52%
91284-85731 (177015)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$68.99
Value
$80.91
PnL
+$11.92
Record
46%
38658-45730 (84388)
Invested
$60.99
Value
$75.39
PnL
+$14.4
Record
55%
24166-19500 (43666)
Invested
$42.25
Value
$50
PnL
+$7.75
Record
58%
61065-44595 (105660)
Invested
$33.91
Value
$35.73
PnL
+$2.07
Record
61%
96010-60519 (156529)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$29.94
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.06
Record
64%
58887-33445 (92332)
Invested
$30.03
Value
$29.32
PnL
-$0.71
Record
66%
127066-65377 (192443)
ohioism<$100Invested
$30
Value
$40
PnL
+$10
Record
64%
40618-23301 (63919)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$17.82
Value
$20.72
PnL
+$2.91
Record
55%
45979-38324 (84303)
Invested
$28.42
Value
$18.5
PnL
+$5.56
Record
64%
24825-13713 (38538)
Invested
$12.76
Value
$13.57
PnL
+$0.81
Record
56%
58613-45263 (103876)
Invested
$5
Value
$9.9
PnL
+$4.9
Record
56%
2299-1791 (4090)
Invested
$4.69
Value
$6.25
PnL
+$1.56
Record
65%
112549-59391 (171940)
Invested
$4.3
Value
$5.31
PnL
+$1.01
Record
55%
18348-14925 (33273)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3698-2861 (6559)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market

BoneOhio
Up — $3.6K
0x50f7
Up — $2.2K
CrouchPredictions
Up — $627.04

machinelearned
Up — $500.63
ply-pm0
Up — $263.61
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $181.06
Little-big
Up — $195.88

OhioRiskManagement
Up — $90.53
wzbbb
Up — $119.34
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $105.22