Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
27
Up 52%
$4.4K
-$249.19
Smart Money Signal
14 of 27 top traders (52%)13 hold an outcome priced under 50%19 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 84.8Β’ | $1.6K | $1.7K | +$61.84 | 56% 14907-11713 (26620) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 79.8Β’ | $844.39 | $804.09 | -$40.3 | 50% 5575-5636 (11211) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 69Β’ | $546.54 | $780.92 | +$234.38 | 58% 38470-27559 (66029) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 78.9Β’ | $472.39 | $468.68 | -$1.91 | 55% 7780-6363 (14143) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 85Β’ | $243.47 | $218.82 | -$24.66 | 60% 12572-8347 (20919) |
![]() BoneOhio | Upavg 73.2Β’ | $138 | $151.64 | +$13.64 | 74% 103028-36547 (139575) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 58.3Β’ | $66.46 | β | -$66.46 | 65% 112549-59391 (171940) |
![]() machinelearnedCTR | Downavg 45.3Β’ | $172.45 | β | -$172.45 | 55% 8953-7389 (16342) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 94.3Β’ | $62.08 | $65.85 | +$3.77 | 66% 127066-65377 (192443) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 74Β’ | $35.3 | $47.67 | +$12.37 | 55% 18348-14925 (33273) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 48.1Β’ | $19.22 | $36.29 | +$17.07 | 56% 58613-45263 (103876) |
![]() Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 97.5Β’ | $33.32 | $34.18 | +$0.86 | 64% 4309-2376 (6685) |
SE seeeeeebCTR<$100 | Downavg 39Β’ | $24.5 | β | -$24.5 | 52% 800-727 (1527) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 29Β’ | $15.5 | β | -$15.5 | 35% 19111-36114 (55225) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 65.7Β’ | $23 | $35 | +$12 | 58% 61065-44595 (105660) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR | Downavg 45.8Β’ | $123.14 | β | -$123.14 | 46% 38658-45730 (84388) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $15.84 | $16 | +$0.16 | 93% 24266-1810 (26076) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 10Β’ | $26.74 | β | -$26.74 | 62% 44267-27240 (71507) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.3Β’ | $56.32 | β | -$56.32 | 49% 78487-82044 (160531) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 53Β’ | $35.62 | β | -$34.33 | 64% 24825-13713 (38538) |
PA Parad0X<$100 | Upavg 56Β’ | $4.48 | $8 | +$3.52 | 56% 2299-1791 (4090) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 48Β’ | $2.4 | β | -$2.4 | 55% 45979-38324 (84303) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 41Β’ | $2.05 | β | -$2.05 | 65% 126412-67571 (193983) |
SI sir-upalotCTR<$100 | Downavg 44Β’ | $17.6 | β | -$17.6 | 55% 24166-19500 (43666) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $0.41 | β | -$0.41 | 64% 40618-23301 (63919) |
Invested
$1,632.91
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$61.84
Record
56%
14907-11713 (26620)
Invested
$844.39
Value
$804.09
PnL
-$40.3
Record
50%
5575-5636 (11211)
Invested
$546.54
Value
$780.92
PnL
+$234.38
Record
58%
38470-27559 (66029)
Invested
$472.39
Value
$468.68
PnL
-$1.91
Record
55%
7780-6363 (14143)
Invested
$243.47
Value
$218.82
PnL
-$24.66
Record
60%
12572-8347 (20919)
BoneOhioInvested
$138
Value
$151.64
PnL
+$13.64
Record
74%
103028-36547 (139575)
Invested
$66.46
Value
β
PnL
-$66.46
Record
65%
112549-59391 (171940)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$172.45
Value
β
PnL
-$172.45
Record
55%
8953-7389 (16342)
Invested
$62.08
Value
$65.85
PnL
+$3.77
Record
66%
127066-65377 (192443)
Invested
$35.3
Value
$47.67
PnL
+$12.37
Record
55%
18348-14925 (33273)
Invested
$19.22
Value
$36.29
PnL
+$17.07
Record
56%
58613-45263 (103876)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$33.32
Value
$34.18
PnL
+$0.86
Record
64%
4309-2376 (6685)
Invested
$24.5
Value
β
PnL
-$24.5
Record
52%
800-727 (1527)
Invested
$15.5
Value
β
PnL
-$15.5
Record
35%
19111-36114 (55225)
Invested
$23
Value
$35
PnL
+$12
Record
58%
61065-44595 (105660)
pspspsps5CTRInvested
$123.14
Value
β
PnL
-$123.14
Record
46%
38658-45730 (84388)
Invested
$15.84
Value
$16
PnL
+$0.16
Record
93%
24266-1810 (26076)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$26.74
Value
β
PnL
-$26.74
Record
62%
44267-27240 (71507)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$56.32
Value
β
PnL
-$56.32
Record
49%
78487-82044 (160531)
Invested
$35.62
Value
β
PnL
-$34.33
Record
64%
24825-13713 (38538)
Invested
$4.48
Value
$8
PnL
+$3.52
Record
56%
2299-1791 (4090)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
β
PnL
-$2.4
Record
55%
45979-38324 (84303)
Invested
$2.05
Value
β
PnL
-$2.05
Record
65%
126412-67571 (193983)
Invested
$17.6
Value
β
PnL
-$17.6
Record
55%
24166-19500 (43666)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0.41
Value
β
PnL
-$0.41
Record
64%
40618-23301 (63919)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up β $1.7K
ply-pm0
Up β $804.09
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $780.92
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up β $468.68
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up β $218.82

BoneOhio
Up β $151.64
antsaslyku
CTRDown β $0

machinelearned
CTRDown β $0
asdaefef
Up β $65.85
Kathod-Shi-14
Up β $47.67