Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
27
Up 69%
$1.9K
-$360.15
Smart Money Signal
18 of 27 top traders (67%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 53.4¢ | $696.18 | $764.99 | +$68.81 | 56% 14912-11721 (26633) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 54.6¢ | $468.2 | $471.81 | +$3.61 | 50% 5579-5642 (11221) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 61.7¢ | $184.29 | $221.78 | +$37.48 | 55% 7784-6369 (14153) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Downavg 18.8¢ | $148.27 | — | -$148.27 | 64% 58895-33457 (92352) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $80.44 | $95.76 | +$15.32 | 74% 103036-36547 (139583) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-GlidingCTR | Downavg 43¢ | $152.1 | — | -$150.7 | 60% 12577-8352 (20929) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $61.23 | — | -$61.23 | 58% 38482-27564 (66046) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 66.3¢ | $38.7 | $58.36 | +$19.66 | 55% 18359-14947 (33306) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 68.1¢ | $34.05 | $50 | +$15.95 | 58% 61075-44602 (105677) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 80.1¢ | $36.86 | $46.03 | +$9.17 | 66% 127086-65386 (192472) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 37.2¢ | $18.24 | $36 | +$17.76 | 46% 38661-45750 (84411) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 92.2¢ | $28.84 | $31.28 | +$2.44 | 61% 96025-60531 (156556) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 70.8¢ | $34.05 | $25 | -$9.05 | 56% 58622-45278 (103900) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $21 | $25 | +$4 | 62% 44272-27256 (71528) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 93.7¢ | $22.12 | $23.6 | +$1.48 | 64% 4319-2379 (6698) |
 machinelearnedCTR | Downavg 66.6¢ | $172.64 | — | -$172.64 | 55% 8959-7393 (16352) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 77.4¢ | $11.8 | $15.25 | +$3.45 | 52% 91299-85747 (177046) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $6.37 | $14.82 | +$8.45 | 64% 40631-23312 (63943) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 29.5¢ | $2.95 | $10 | +$7.05 | 55% 45991-38342 (84333) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $5.64 | $12 | +$6.36 | 56% 8338-6477 (14815) |
LI Little-big<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $5.01 | $11.37 | +$6.37 | 35% 19115-36121 (55236) |
PA Parad0X<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $4.5 | $9 | +$4.5 | 56% 2300-1792 (4092) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $14.64 | — | -$14.64 | 59% 62663-43746 (106409) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 64.9¢ | $28.17 | — | -$28.17 | 64% 24852-13722 (38574) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 49% 78491-82056 (160547) |
Invested
$696.18
Value
$764.99
PnL
+$68.81
Record
56%
14912-11721 (26633)
Invested
$468.2
Value
$471.81
PnL
+$3.61
Record
50%
5579-5642 (11221)
Invested
$184.29
Value
$221.78
PnL
+$37.48
Record
55%
7784-6369 (14153)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$148.27
Value
—
PnL
-$148.27
Record
64%
58895-33457 (92352)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$80.44
Value
$95.76
PnL
+$15.32
Record
74%
103036-36547 (139583)
Invested
$152.1
Value
—
PnL
-$150.7
Record
60%
12577-8352 (20929)
Invested
$61.23
Value
—
PnL
-$61.23
Record
58%
38482-27564 (66046)
Invested
$38.7
Value
$58.36
PnL
+$19.66
Record
55%
18359-14947 (33306)
Invested
$34.05
Value
$50
PnL
+$15.95
Record
58%
61075-44602 (105677)
Invested
$36.86
Value
$46.03
PnL
+$9.17
Record
66%
127086-65386 (192472)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$18.24
Value
$36
PnL
+$17.76
Record
46%
38661-45750 (84411)
Invested
$28.84
Value
$31.28
PnL
+$2.44
Record
61%
96025-60531 (156556)
Invested
$34.05
Value
$25
PnL
-$9.05
Record
56%
58622-45278 (103900)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$21
Value
$25
PnL
+$4
Record
62%
44272-27256 (71528)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$22.12
Value
$23.6
PnL
+$1.48
Record
64%
4319-2379 (6698)
machinelearnedCTRInvested
$172.64
Value
—
PnL
-$172.64
Record
55%
8959-7393 (16352)
Invested
$11.8
Value
$15.25
PnL
+$3.45
Record
52%
91299-85747 (177046)
ohioism<$100Invested
$6.37
Value
$14.82
PnL
+$8.45
Record
64%
40631-23312 (63943)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$2.95
Value
$10
PnL
+$7.05
Record
55%
45991-38342 (84333)
Invested
$5.64
Value
$12
PnL
+$6.36
Record
56%
8338-6477 (14815)
Invested
$5.01
Value
$11.37
PnL
+$6.37
Record
35%
19115-36121 (55236)
Invested
$4.5
Value
$9
PnL
+$4.5
Record
56%
2300-1792 (4092)
Invested
$14.64
Value
—
PnL
-$14.64
Record
59%
62663-43746 (106409)
Invested
$28.17
Value
—
PnL
-$28.17
Record
64%
24852-13722 (38574)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
49%
78491-82056 (160547)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $764.99
ply-pm0
Up — $471.81
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $221.78
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
BoneOhio
Up — $95.76
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
CTRDown — $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRDown — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $58.36
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $50
asdaefef
Up — $46.03