Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
24
Up 87%
$2.8K
$91.74
Smart Money Signal
20 of 24 top traders (83%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 75.8¢ | $629.42 | $673.05 | +$43.62 | 56% 14907-11713 (26620) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 73.7¢ | $475.88 | $490.72 | +$73.64 | 64% 58887-33445 (92332) |
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 73.5¢ | $348.08 | $376.41 | +$28.34 | 50% 5575-5636 (11211) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 80.4¢ | $274.33 | $238.62 | -$32.46 | 55% 7780-6363 (14143) |
LI Little-bigCTR | Downavg 52.5¢ | $232.35 | — | -$232.35 | 35% 19111-36114 (55225) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 71.9¢ | $160.19 | $196.22 | +$36.03 | 60% 12572-8347 (20919) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 52.9¢ | $145.97 | $254 | +$108.03 | 56% 8331-6467 (14798) |
![]() machinelearned | Upavg 76.8¢ | $138.31 | $180 | +$41.69 | 55% 8953-7389 (16342) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 96.4¢ | $88.52 | $90.8 | +$2.28 | 46% 38658-45730 (84388) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530 | Upavg 69.2¢ | $72.7 | $105 | +$32.3 | 56% 58613-45263 (103876) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 71.5¢ | $42.91 | $46.62 | +$16.95 | 64% 24825-13713 (38538) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 23.9¢ | $39.37 | — | -$39.37 | 55% 18348-14925 (33273) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $27.21 | $40 | +$12.79 | 55% 24166-19500 (43666) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $28.56 | $25.96 | -$2.6 | 49% 78487-82044 (160531) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $26.25 | $25 | -$1.25 | 64% 40618-23301 (63919) |
![]() Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $25 | $23 | -$2 | 64% 4309-2376 (6685) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 71.7¢ | $9.86 | $13.74 | +$3.88 | 65% 112549-59391 (171940) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $11.4 | $20 | +$8.6 | 58% 38470-27559 (66029) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | $8.75 | — | -$8.75 | 62% 44267-27240 (71507) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 78.5¢ | $7.85 | $10 | +$2.15 | 55% 45979-38324 (84303) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $6.93 | $7.07 | +$0.14 | 66% 127066-65377 (192443) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $6.93 | $7 | +$0.07 | 61% 96010-60519 (156529) |
RO Rock.San<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 | 89% 12035-1416 (13451) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3698-2861 (6559) |
Invested
$629.42
Value
$673.05
PnL
+$43.62
Record
56%
14907-11713 (26620)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$475.88
Value
$490.72
PnL
+$73.64
Record
64%
58887-33445 (92332)
Invested
$348.08
Value
$376.41
PnL
+$28.34
Record
50%
5575-5636 (11211)
Invested
$274.33
Value
$238.62
PnL
-$32.46
Record
55%
7780-6363 (14143)
Invested
$232.35
Value
—
PnL
-$232.35
Record
35%
19111-36114 (55225)
Invested
$160.19
Value
$196.22
PnL
+$36.03
Record
60%
12572-8347 (20919)
Invested
$145.97
Value
$254
PnL
+$108.03
Record
56%
8331-6467 (14798)
machinelearnedInvested
$138.31
Value
$180
PnL
+$41.69
Record
55%
8953-7389 (16342)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$88.52
Value
$90.8
PnL
+$2.28
Record
46%
38658-45730 (84388)
Invested
$72.7
Value
$105
PnL
+$32.3
Record
56%
58613-45263 (103876)
Invested
$42.91
Value
$46.62
PnL
+$16.95
Record
64%
24825-13713 (38538)
Invested
$39.37
Value
—
PnL
-$39.37
Record
55%
18348-14925 (33273)
Invested
$27.21
Value
$40
PnL
+$12.79
Record
55%
24166-19500 (43666)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$28.56
Value
$25.96
PnL
-$2.6
Record
49%
78487-82044 (160531)
ohioism<$100Invested
$26.25
Value
$25
PnL
-$1.25
Record
64%
40618-23301 (63919)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$25
Value
$23
PnL
-$2
Record
64%
4309-2376 (6685)
Invested
$9.86
Value
$13.74
PnL
+$3.88
Record
65%
112549-59391 (171940)
Invested
$11.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$8.6
Record
58%
38470-27559 (66029)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$8.75
Value
—
PnL
-$8.75
Record
62%
44267-27240 (71507)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.85
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.15
Record
55%
45979-38324 (84303)
Invested
$6.93
Value
$7.07
PnL
+$0.14
Record
66%
127066-65377 (192443)
Invested
$6.93
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.07
Record
61%
96010-60519 (156529)
Invested
$5
Value
$5
PnL
+$0
Record
89%
12035-1416 (13451)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3698-2861 (6559)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Up — $673.05

Polkadot-Frog
Up — $490.72
ply-pm0
Up — $376.41
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $238.62
Little-big
CTRDown — $0
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $196.22
wzbbb
Up — $254

machinelearned
Up — $180

pspspsps5
Up — $90.8
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $105