Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
25
Down 79%
$3.8K
-$388.71
Smart Money Signal
20 of 25 top traders (80%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 76.8¢ | $688.74 | $706.7 | +$17.96 | 56% 16006-12645 (28651) |
KA KARIZMATIKU | Downavg 61.9¢ | $576.24 | $931.01 | +$354.77 | 51% 712-671 (1383) |
AL almach | Downavg 79.7¢ | $326.74 | $409.99 | +$83.25 | 55% 50268-41869 (92137) |
10 1000monkeys | Downavg 80.5¢ | $404.42 | $397.3 | -$7.11 | 59% 11357-7812 (19169) |
BO bosona | Downavg 80¢ | $300 | $375 | +$75 | 55% 51720-42173 (93893) |
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 79.6¢ | $279.96 | $277.23 | -$2.73 | 30% 12233-28187 (40420) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $255.76 | $256.02 | +$0.26 | 59% 63933-45082 (109015) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 80¢ | $192.63 | $240.67 | +$48.04 | 55% 52367-42838 (95205) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $45.05 | $57 | +$11.95 | 67% 102584-50902 (153486) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 90.3¢ | $53.38 | $55 | +$1.62 | 48% 6746-7394 (14140) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 29.4¢ | $44.12 | — | -$44.12 | 63% 42543-25276 (67819) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 83.8¢ | $20.95 | $25 | +$4.05 | 55% 51661-42835 (94496) |
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Upavg 49.7¢ | $37.31 | — | -$37.31 | 67% 22505-10861 (33366) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 83.8¢ | $19.02 | $22.69 | +$3.67 | 61% 98748-62704 (161452) |
RL RLWG<$100 | Downavg 80.5¢ | $16.1 | $20 | +$3.9 | 50% 8428-8461 (16889) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 80.6¢ | $8.06 | $10 | +$1.94 | 52% 12386-11438 (23824) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 74.4¢ | $7.44 | $10 | +$2.56 | 65% 130470-70278 (200748) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Downavg 96.3¢ | $4.91 | $5.1 | +$0.19 | 64% 4995-2819 (7814) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $5.7 | $5 | -$0.7 | 61% 46204-29379 (75583) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 82.1¢ | $4.1 | $5 | +$0.9 | 56% 60679-47194 (107873) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Downavg 96.3¢ | $2.51 | $2.6 | +$0.1 | 66% 1867-943 (2810) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 17.4¢ | $8.69 | — | -$8.69 | 58% 63423-46617 (110040) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.2¢ | $90.13 | — | -$90.13 | 58% 3206-2304 (5510) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 51% 12246-11736 (23982) |
 timebrotime | Downavg 95.7¢ | $806.27 | — | -$806.27 | 67% 989-480 (1469) |
Invested
$688.74
Value
$706.7
PnL
+$17.96
Record
56%
16006-12645 (28651)
Invested
$576.24
Value
$931.01
PnL
+$354.77
Record
51%
712-671 (1383)
Invested
$326.74
Value
$409.99
PnL
+$83.25
Record
55%
50268-41869 (92137)
Invested
$404.42
Value
$397.3
PnL
-$7.11
Record
59%
11357-7812 (19169)
Invested
$300
Value
$375
PnL
+$75
Record
55%
51720-42173 (93893)
Invested
$279.96
Value
$277.23
PnL
-$2.73
Record
30%
12233-28187 (40420)
Invested
$255.76
Value
$256.02
PnL
+$0.26
Record
59%
63933-45082 (109015)
Invested
$192.63
Value
$240.67
PnL
+$48.04
Record
55%
52367-42838 (95205)
Invested
$45.05
Value
$57
PnL
+$11.95
Record
67%
102584-50902 (153486)
Invested
$53.38
Value
$55
PnL
+$1.62
Record
48%
6746-7394 (14140)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$44.12
Value
—
PnL
-$44.12
Record
63%
42543-25276 (67819)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$20.95
Value
$25
PnL
+$4.05
Record
55%
51661-42835 (94496)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$37.31
Value
—
PnL
-$37.31
Record
67%
22505-10861 (33366)
Invested
$19.02
Value
$22.69
PnL
+$3.67
Record
61%
98748-62704 (161452)
Invested
$16.1
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.9
Record
50%
8428-8461 (16889)
Invested
$8.06
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.94
Record
52%
12386-11438 (23824)
Invested
$7.44
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.56
Record
65%
130470-70278 (200748)
Atomforge<$100Invested
$4.91
Value
$5.1
PnL
+$0.19
Record
64%
4995-2819 (7814)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$5.7
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.7
Record
61%
46204-29379 (75583)
Invested
$4.1
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.9
Record
56%
60679-47194 (107873)
Invested
$2.51
Value
$2.6
PnL
+$0.1
Record
66%
1867-943 (2810)
Invested
$8.69
Value
—
PnL
-$8.69
Record
58%
63423-46617 (110040)
Invested
$90.13
Value
—
PnL
-$90.13
Record
58%
3206-2304 (5510)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
51%
12246-11736 (23982)
timebrotimeInvested
$806.27
Value
—
PnL
-$806.27
Record
67%
989-480 (1469)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
CrouchPredictions
Down — $706.7
KARIZMATIKU
Down — $931.01
almach
Down — $409.99
1000monkeys
Down — $397.3
bosona
Down — $375
Hcrystallash
Down — $277.23
0x50f7
Down — $256.02
mo-money
Down — $240.67
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $57
asdcaxz
Down — $55