Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
21
Down 60%
$2.0K
$210.81
Smart Money Signal
13 of 21 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HC Hcrystallash | Downavg 78.3¢ | $523.05 | $547.85 | +$24.8 | 30% 12233-28187 (40420) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 78¢ | $435.4 | $524.2 | +$88.8 | 58% 3206-2304 (5510) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Downavg 71.3¢ | $251.83 | $351.22 | +$99.39 | 56% 16006-12645 (28651) |
PB PBot-5 | Downavg 58.3¢ | $99.64 | $170.76 | +$71.12 | 52% 12386-11438 (23824) |
10 1000monkeys | Downavg 71.6¢ | $116.77 | $107.9 | -$8.87 | 59% 11357-7812 (19169) |
AS asdcaxz | Downavg 79.3¢ | $99.01 | $104.26 | +$5.25 | 48% 6746-7394 (14140) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 35.2¢ | $54.94 | — | -$54.94 | 61% 46204-29379 (75583) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 77.8¢ | $47.22 | $40 | -$7.22 | 58% 63423-46617 (110040) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 65.6¢ | $42.37 | $40 | -$2.37 | 51% 12246-11736 (23982) |
0X 0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $36.49 | $48 | +$11.51 | 73% 95480-36128 (131608) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 85.7¢ | $37.61 | $43.89 | +$6.28 | 61% 98748-62704 (161452) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 82.4¢ | $35.36 | $42.91 | +$7.55 | 66% 130798-67676 (198474) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.7¢ | $13.58 | — | -$13.58 | 63% 42543-25276 (67819) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 71.5¢ | $8.1 | $10 | +$1.9 | 55% 51661-42835 (94496) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.6¢ | $7.38 | — | -$7.38 | 56% 60679-47194 (107873) |
RL RLWGCTR<$100 | Upavg 29.5¢ | $2.95 | — | -$2.95 | 50% 8428-8461 (16889) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $4.78 | — | -$4.78 | 55% 52367-42838 (95205) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 55% 51720-42173 (93893) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 55% 50268-41869 (92137) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 34.5¢ | $3.45 | — | -$3.45 | 65% 130470-70278 (200748) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99.1¢ | $504.26 | — | +$4.74 | 89% 29513-3559 (33072) |
Invested
$523.05
Value
$547.85
PnL
+$24.8
Record
30%
12233-28187 (40420)
Invested
$435.4
Value
$524.2
PnL
+$88.8
Record
58%
3206-2304 (5510)
Invested
$251.83
Value
$351.22
PnL
+$99.39
Record
56%
16006-12645 (28651)
Invested
$99.64
Value
$170.76
PnL
+$71.12
Record
52%
12386-11438 (23824)
Invested
$116.77
Value
$107.9
PnL
-$8.87
Record
59%
11357-7812 (19169)
Invested
$99.01
Value
$104.26
PnL
+$5.25
Record
48%
6746-7394 (14140)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$54.94
Value
—
PnL
-$54.94
Record
61%
46204-29379 (75583)
Invested
$47.22
Value
$40
PnL
-$7.22
Record
58%
63423-46617 (110040)
Invested
$42.37
Value
$40
PnL
-$2.37
Record
51%
12246-11736 (23982)
Invested
$36.49
Value
$48
PnL
+$11.51
Record
73%
95480-36128 (131608)
Invested
$37.61
Value
$43.89
PnL
+$6.28
Record
61%
98748-62704 (161452)
Invested
$35.36
Value
$42.91
PnL
+$7.55
Record
66%
130798-67676 (198474)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$13.58
Value
—
PnL
-$13.58
Record
63%
42543-25276 (67819)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$8.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.9
Record
55%
51661-42835 (94496)
Invested
$7.38
Value
—
PnL
-$7.38
Record
56%
60679-47194 (107873)
Invested
$2.95
Value
—
PnL
-$2.95
Record
50%
8428-8461 (16889)
Invested
$4.78
Value
—
PnL
-$4.78
Record
55%
52367-42838 (95205)
Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
55%
51720-42173 (93893)
Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
55%
50268-41869 (92137)
Invested
$3.45
Value
—
PnL
-$3.45
Record
65%
130470-70278 (200748)
Invested
$504.26
Value
—
PnL
+$4.74
Record
89%
29513-3559 (33072)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Hcrystallash
Down — $547.85
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $524.2
CrouchPredictions
Down — $351.22
PBot-5
Down — $170.76
1000monkeys
Down — $107.9
asdcaxz
Down — $104.26
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $40
blue.birds
Down — $40
0xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144
Down — $48