Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Up 88%

Total Value

$15.4K

Combined PnL

-$100.66

Smart Money Signal

21 of 24 top traders (88%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up21 traders

Total Value$15.4K

Total Shares15,448

Combined PnL+$2.0K

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares8,848

Combined PnL$-2.1K

Up — 88%Down — 12%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AL almach	Upavg 79.9¢	$1.7K	$2.1K	+$424.81	55% 50160-41768 (91928)
Polkadot-Frog	Upavg 84.2¢	$2.3K	$2.1K	-$221.65	63% 60874-35322 (96196)
MO mo-money	Upavg 79.8¢	$1.6K	$2.1K	+$418.22	55% 52205-42637 (94842)
BO bosona	Upavg 80.3¢	$1.6K	$2.0K	+$396.39	55% 51681-42136 (93817)
HO hoodquant	Upavg 96.4¢	$1.9K	$2.0K	+$70.62	89% 29269-3554 (32823)
HC Hcrystallash	Upavg 92.8¢	$1.7K	$1.8K	+$48.43	30% 12160-28125 (40285)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 69.5¢	$1.4K	$2.1K	+$632.5	56% 77369-59755 (137124)
MayorMamdani	Upavg 92.4¢	$524.64	$565.5	+$40.86	55% 51651-42826 (94477)
RL RLWGCTR	Downavg 28¢	$444.45	—	-$444.45	50% 8363-8418 (16781)
CR CrouchPredictions	Upavg 74.6¢	$274.42	$367.9	+$93.48	56% 15897-12509 (28406)
10 1000monkeys	Upavg 71.7¢	$85.4	$110.8	+$25.4	59% 11259-7721 (18980)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 72.3¢	$51.73	$57.98	+$6.25	51% 12042-11506 (23548)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 87.8¢	$35.12	$40	+$4.88	56% 60501-47058 (107559)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 88.7¢	$35.5	$40	+$4.5	58% 63261-46470 (109731)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 86.8¢	$34.74	$40	+$5.26	63% 42413-25111 (67524)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 72.3¢	$26.14	$30.21	+$4.07	66% 130591-67529 (198120)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 53.4¢	$28.42	$25.65	+$6.49	65% 130212-70100 (200312)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR	Downavg 18.4¢	$918.72	—	-$918.72	59% 2990-2083 (5073)
AS asdcaxz<$100	Upavg 84.9¢	$33.22	$20	-$13.22	47% 6494-7195 (13689)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 59.7¢	$14.93	$25	+$10.07	61% 46056-29221 (75277)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 61.3¢	$9.66	$15.77	+$6.11	61% 98563-62545 (161108)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Upavg 69.5¢	$10.22	$14.7	+$4.48	65% 114545-61579 (176124)
PB PBot-5<$100	Upavg 82.1¢	$8.21	$10	+$1.79	52% 12307-11342 (23649)
wowitsamazingCTR	Downavg 29.9¢	$707.24	—	-$707.24	67% 22484-10826 (33310)

almach

Invested

$1,693.19

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$424.81

Record

55%

50160-41768 (91928)

Polkadot-Frog

Invested

$2,318.41

Value

$2.1K

PnL

-$221.65

Record

63%

60874-35322 (96196)

mo-money

Invested

$1,647.81

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$418.22

Record

55%

52205-42637 (94842)

bosona

Invested

$1,614.59

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$396.39

Record

55%

51681-42136 (93817)

hoodquant

Invested

$1,884.37

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$70.62

Record

89%

29269-3554 (32823)

Hcrystallash

Invested

$1,715.53

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$48.43

Record

30%

12160-28125 (40285)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$1,441.19

Value

$2.1K

PnL

+$632.5

Record

56%

77369-59755 (137124)

MayorMamdani

Invested

$524.64

Value

$565.5

PnL

+$40.86

Record

55%

51651-42826 (94477)

RLWGCTR

Down

Invested

$444.45

Value

—

PnL

-$444.45

Record

50%

8363-8418 (16781)

CrouchPredictions

Invested

$274.42

Value

$367.9

PnL

+$93.48

Record

56%

15897-12509 (28406)

1000monkeys

Invested

$85.4

Value

$110.8

PnL

+$25.4

Record

59%

11259-7721 (18980)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$51.73

Value

$57.98

PnL

+$6.25

Record

51%

12042-11506 (23548)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$35.12

Value

$40

PnL

+$4.88

Record

56%

60501-47058 (107559)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$35.5

Value

$40

PnL

+$4.5

Record

58%

63261-46470 (109731)

ohioism<$100

Invested

$34.74

Value

$40

PnL

+$5.26

Record

63%

42413-25111 (67524)

asdaefef<$100

Invested

$26.14

Value

$30.21

PnL

+$4.07

Record

66%

130591-67529 (198120)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$28.42

Value

$25.65

PnL

+$6.49

Record

65%

130212-70100 (200312)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR

Down

Invested

$918.72

Value

—

PnL

-$918.72

Record

59%

2990-2083 (5073)

asdcaxz<$100

Invested

$33.22

Value

$20

PnL

-$13.22

Record

47%

6494-7195 (13689)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$14.93

Value

$25

PnL

+$10.07

Record

61%

46056-29221 (75277)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$9.66

Value

$15.77

PnL

+$6.11

Record

61%

98563-62545 (161108)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$10.22

Value

$14.7

PnL

+$4.48

Record

65%

114545-61579 (176124)

PBot-5<$100

Invested

$8.21

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.79

Record

52%

12307-11342 (23649)

wowitsamazingCTR

Down

Invested

$707.24

Value

—

PnL

-$707.24

Record

67%

22484-10826 (33310)

Smart Money Signal

21 of 24 top traders (88%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xdd708944...04ffc3

Slug

btc-updown-15m-1794002400

Traders in this Market

almach

Up — $2.1K

+$424.81

Polkadot-Frog

Up — $2.1K

-$221.65

mo-money

Up — $2.1K

+$418.22

bosona

Up — $2.0K

+$396.39

hoodquant

Up — $2.0K

+$70.62

Hcrystallash

Up — $1.8K

+$48.43

uninformedfloww

Up — $2.1K

+$632.5

MayorMamdani

Up — $565.5

+$40.86

RLWG

CTR

Down — $0

-$444.45

CrouchPredictions

Up — $367.9

+$93.48

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