Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 78%
$5.3K
-$230.98
Smart Money Signal
14 of 18 top traders (78%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 98.8¢ | $1.6K | $1.7K | +$19.63 | 89% 29224-3554 (32778) |
HC Hcrystallash | Upavg 96.7¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | -$90.19 | 30% 12152-28123 (40275) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Upavg 68.6¢ | $424.5 | $619 | +$194.5 | 59% 2978-2074 (5052) |
CR CrouchPredictions | Upavg 82.6¢ | $481.19 | $374.97 | -$106.22 | 56% 15897-12509 (28406) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $307.7 | $308.01 | +$0.31 | 59% 63884-45002 (108886) |
AS asdcaxz | Upavg 74.7¢ | $236.62 | $240.41 | +$3.79 | 47% 6472-7172 (13644) |
10 1000monkeys | Upavg 78.9¢ | $217.81 | $225.3 | +$7.49 | 59% 11247-7714 (18961) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 82.9¢ | $144.26 | $135.59 | +$1.13 | 63% 60872-35320 (96192) |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 81.1¢ | $98.17 | $120.98 | +$22.82 | 55% 51621-42810 (94431) |
RL RLWGCTR | Downavg 30.1¢ | $148.95 | — | -$148.95 | 50% 8359-8417 (16776) |
 wowitsamazingCTR | Downavg 27.5¢ | $116.24 | — | -$116.24 | 68% 22481-10823 (33304) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 72.1¢ | $52.8 | $57.78 | +$4.98 | 51% 12016-11488 (23504) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $35.48 | $50 | +$14.52 | 63% 42391-25095 (67486) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 78.3¢ | $33.28 | $35.23 | +$1.95 | 66% 130579-67519 (198098) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 89.7¢ | $21.78 | $19 | -$2.78 | 61% 98537-62529 (161066) |
 AtomforgeCTR<$100 | Downavg 18.2¢ | $25.46 | — | -$25.46 | 64% 4928-2789 (7717) |
AS asabovesobelow2<$100 | Upavg 78.7¢ | $4.06 | $5.16 | +$1.1 | 67% 1849-929 (2778) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.7¢ | $41.14 | — | -$13.36 | 65% 130170-70085 (200255) |
Invested
$1,645.36
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$19.63
Record
89%
29224-3554 (32778)
Invested
$1,545.99
Value
$1.5K
PnL
-$90.19
Record
30%
12152-28123 (40275)
Invested
$424.5
Value
$619
PnL
+$194.5
Record
59%
2978-2074 (5052)
Invested
$481.19
Value
$374.97
PnL
-$106.22
Record
56%
15897-12509 (28406)
Invested
$307.7
Value
$308.01
PnL
+$0.31
Record
59%
63884-45002 (108886)
Invested
$236.62
Value
$240.41
PnL
+$3.79
Record
47%
6472-7172 (13644)
Invested
$217.81
Value
$225.3
PnL
+$7.49
Record
59%
11247-7714 (18961)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$144.26
Value
$135.59
PnL
+$1.13
Record
63%
60872-35320 (96192)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$98.17
Value
$120.98
PnL
+$22.82
Record
55%
51621-42810 (94431)
Invested
$148.95
Value
—
PnL
-$148.95
Record
50%
8359-8417 (16776)
wowitsamazingCTRInvested
$116.24
Value
—
PnL
-$116.24
Record
68%
22481-10823 (33304)
Invested
$52.8
Value
$57.78
PnL
+$4.98
Record
51%
12016-11488 (23504)
ohioism<$100Invested
$35.48
Value
$50
PnL
+$14.52
Record
63%
42391-25095 (67486)
Invested
$33.28
Value
$35.23
PnL
+$1.95
Record
66%
130579-67519 (198098)
Invested
$21.78
Value
$19
PnL
-$2.78
Record
61%
98537-62529 (161066)
AtomforgeCTR<$100Invested
$25.46
Value
—
PnL
-$25.46
Record
64%
4928-2789 (7717)
Invested
$4.06
Value
$5.16
PnL
+$1.1
Record
67%
1849-929 (2778)
Invested
$41.14
Value
—
PnL
-$13.36
Record
65%
130170-70085 (200255)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $1.7K
Hcrystallash
Up — $1.5K
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Up — $619
CrouchPredictions
Up — $374.97
0x50f7
Up — $308.01
asdcaxz
Up — $240.41
1000monkeys
Up — $225.3
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $135.59
MayorMamdani
Up — $120.98
RLWG
CTRDown — $0