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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| xcaiox | UpTheBlues | MEPP | RockyZet | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 48% (13315–14249, n=27564) | 65% (345–184, n=529) | 64% (179–99, n=278) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $1.4M | $557K | $100K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #697 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #959 + pinned | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 59% (10 of 17 open) | 79% (65 of 82 open) | 100% (8 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Entertainment −18 pts, n=11 | Elections ±0 pts, n=101 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 27853 at avg 65¢, ROI +38% | 66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4% | 65% of 354 at avg 63¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 7% (won 99% of 1952) | 20% (won 14% of 151) | 30% (won 10% of 106) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 23% (won 100% of 6322) | 11% (won 34% of 82) | 6% (won 32% of 22) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 25% (won 100% of 6857) | 19% (won 66% of 144) | 6% (won 57% of 23) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 46% (won 100% of 12722) | 51% (won 93% of 390) | 57% (won 98% of 203) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | xcaiox | UpTheBlues | MEPP | RockyZet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.8K | No $19K |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.3K | No $4.1K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3.2K | No $19K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $9.3K | Yes $52 |