← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| xcaiox | jesterthegoose | texaskid | Bonereaper | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 87% (158–23, n=181) | 81% (290–70, n=360) | 53% (383–345, n=728) | 58% (18732–13531, n=32263) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $200K | $1.4M | $518K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #715 | was PM monthly #562 + pinned | was PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #279 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (13 of 18 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Politics −1 pts, n=10 | Elections −5 pts, n=12 | College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 85% of 137 at avg 74¢, ROI +15% | 80% of 579 at avg 79¢, ROI +3% | 75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19% | 99% of 53044 at avg 67¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 30% of 10) | 14% (won 8% of 83) | 1% (won 0% of 3) | 4% (won 91% of 2369) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 60% of 10) | 5% (won 39% of 28) | 26% (won 68% of 148) | 15% (won 96% of 8173) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 71% of 24) | 5% (won 65% of 31) | 69% (won 78% of 392) | 33% (won 99% of 17282) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 68% (won 98% of 93) | 75% (won 97% of 437) | 4% (won 87% of 23) | 48% (won 100% of 25220) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.