PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
turoRN1CORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (11736–12517, n=24253)63% (379–224, n=603)49% (823–849, n=1672)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #811Hand-pickedPM monthly #88PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (32 of 50 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won75% of 24 at avg 74¢, ROI −5%94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 784 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 56% of 2463)9% (won 91% of 35)5% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 0% of 2)22% (won 94% of 5333)55% (won 99% of 209)41% (won 99% of 322)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 100% of 4)36% (won 99% of 8660)34% (won 100% of 128)49% (won 99% of 383)
Entries 70¢ and up71% (won 82% of 17)31% (won 100% of 7366)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.