PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
turoBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-177764853424100gringo00
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (501–606, n=1107)56% (100–79, n=179)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL—$12.1M$3.5M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #811PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position72% (23 of 32 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won75% of 24 at avg 74¢, ROI −5%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)0%
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 0% of 2)35% (won 98% of 181)26% (won 93% of 29)0%
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 100% of 4)34% (won 99% of 176)42% (won 96% of 47)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up71% (won 82% of 17)20% (won 100% of 105)24% (won 96% of 27)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.