PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)49% (832–875, n=1707)89% (179–23, n=202)
Consensus PnL$561K$474K
Tracked asPM monthly #125was PM monthly #974
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=40, ROI +55%
  • MLB +48 pts n=75, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +51 pts n=32, ROI +49%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won68% of 1156 at avg 46¢, ROI +19%100% of 232 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%
Entries under 30¢22% (won 24% of 250)9% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 72% of 392)40% (won 99% of 93)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 84% of 362)47% (won 100% of 110)
Entries 70¢ and up13% (won 95% of 152)4% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.