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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| NatoAlfista | 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | 0x2Cc8Cc54F50DbB45fE346612821CA93B6E93262B-1780571709186 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (3299–3527, n=6826) | 89% (48–6, n=54) | 95% (456–22, n=478) |
| Consensus PnL | $32K | -$54K | -$138K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #994 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #584 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (32 of 68 open) | 100% (14 of 14 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=408 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 1999 at avg 46¢, ROI +42% | 84% of 190 at avg 84¢, ROI −2% | 98% of 448 at avg 98¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 221) | 6% (won 8% of 12) | 0% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 94% of 966) | 3% (won 40% of 5) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 97% of 802) | 9% (won 56% of 18) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 1% (won 80% of 10) | 82% (won 95% of 155) | 99% (won 98% of 445) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.