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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| traba | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (16–17, n=33) | 45% (503–616, n=1119) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (382–231, n=613) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.4K | $11.1M | $4.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #814 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #67 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 66% (35 of 53 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 9% (won 91% of 35) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 214) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 34% (won 100% of 129) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | traba | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Wizards | Wizards $1.2K | Wizards $197K | — | — |