PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
topdogbigboibeachboy4RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)34% (2090–3981, n=6071)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12302–13184, n=25486)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$13K$5.8M$13.4M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #928was PM monthly #24PM monthly #23 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus43% (6 of 14 open)100% (2 of 2 open)83% (5 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won—57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2507)0%
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5408)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢—54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8790)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7551)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markettopdogbigboibeachboy4RN1sainttroplay
Pan Pacific Open: Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks
opposite sides · consensus Mia Pohankova
Alycia Parks $17—Mia Pohankova $47K—
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart
opposite sides · consensus Paula Badosa
Harriet Dart $9—Paula Badosa $1.3K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $319—No $7.7K—