PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
topdogbigboiRN1beachboy4sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)34% (2090–3981, n=6071)48% (12302–13184, n=25486)68% (43–20, n=63)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$13K$13.4M$5.8M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #928PM monthly #23 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus43% (6 of 14 open)83% (5 of 6 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won—94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2507)3% (won 17% of 6)0%
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5408)29% (won 56% of 62)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8790)54% (won 51% of 115)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7551)14% (won 86% of 29)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettopdogbigboiRN1beachboy4sainttroplay
Pan Pacific Open: Mia Pohankova vs Alycia Parks
opposite sides · consensus Mia Pohankova
Alycia Parks $17Mia Pohankova $47K——
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart
opposite sides · consensus Paula Badosa
Harriet Dart $9Paula Badosa $1.3K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $319No $7.7K——