PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
2B9Slegitgame0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd1400xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186
Record (consensus markets)10% (1470–12752, n=14222)59% (221–155, n=376)88% (35–5, n=40)50% (409–402, n=811)
Consensus PnL$96K$18K$1.2M$567K
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #993was PM monthly #77PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensus64% (84 of 131 open)0% (0 of 1 open)26% (10 of 39 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +4 pts n=192, ROI +1%
  • NBA +3 pts n=240, ROI +1%
  • NHL +3 pts n=131, ROI +1%
Weakest topicTech −1 pts, n=594———
Settled positions, side won4% of 11423 at avg 4¢, ROI 0%90% of 227 at avg 58¢, ROI +34%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%100% of 357 at avg 56¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢99% (won 3% of 11266)4% (won 60% of 10)0%6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 54% of 67)21% (won 83% of 47)47% (won 100% of 15)17% (won 98% of 59)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 75% of 20)52% (won 94% of 118)31% (won 100% of 10)63% (won 100% of 225)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 76% of 70)23% (won 92% of 52)22% (won 100% of 7)15% (won 100% of 53)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market2B9Slegitgame0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd1400xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $186—Yes $4—