PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sumolive0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-17706582427100x1ba747eaed3e0e798922523dbed29693bcf767a1siick
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1212–1267, n=2479)92% (782–64, n=846)59% (486–344, n=830)
Consensus PnL—$60K$93K$99K
Tracked asPM monthly #241Hand-pickedPM monthly #852Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)25% (3 of 12 open)0% (0 of 1 open)75% (40 of 53 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Geopolitics +12 pts n=445, ROI +4%
  • MMA +14 pts n=212, ROI +20%
  • NHL +14 pts n=95, ROI +17%
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74—NFL −7 pts, n=19
Settled positions, side won—55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%99% of 704 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%68% of 1019 at avg 56¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—24% (won 19% of 254)4% (won 96% of 26)21% (won 22% of 209)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 40% of 241)30% (won 99% of 208)14% (won 57% of 143)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 70% of 304)66% (won 99% of 468)30% (won 72% of 304)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 89% of 250)0% (won 100% of 2)36% (won 95% of 363)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsumolive0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-17706582427100x1ba747eaed3e0e798922523dbed29693bcf767a1siick
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $21—No $20
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $67—Yes $1