PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
stuttigyen4u0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-17706582427100xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792
Record (consensus markets)no settled market91% (654–64, n=718)49% (1213–1271, n=2484)92% (213–18, n=231)
Consensus PnL—$67K$60K$434K
Tracked asPM monthly #491PM monthly #596Hand-pickedPM monthly #901
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position89% (42 of 47 open)25% (3 of 12 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Politics −6 pts, n=74—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 77¢, ROI +23%94% of 613 at avg 90¢, ROI +3%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%98% of 335 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢0%4% (won 26% of 27)24% (won 19% of 254)3% (won 90% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢0%2% (won 57% of 14)23% (won 40% of 241)36% (won 98% of 120)
Entries 50–70¢0%5% (won 80% of 30)29% (won 70% of 304)59% (won 98% of 197)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 1)88% (won 99% of 542)24% (won 89% of 250)2% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.