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E4
No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #485 · no open consensus position
0xe4d7564e...4b7ace04Polymarket
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #485
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
Specialties
1 settled consensus market · held side won 100% at an average entry of 77¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where stuttig's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.