PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
stringXXRock.SanLonnieHawkins0xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792
Record (consensus markets)no settled market94% (7221–482, n=7703)49% (1265–1326, n=2591)92% (213–18, n=231)
Consensus PnL—$142K$331K$434K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #977was PM monthly #998PM monthly #115PM monthly #897
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +39 pts n=11, ROI +36%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=13, ROI +49%
  • MLB +27 pts n=17, ROI −3%
  • Soccer +11 pts n=1124, ROI +8%
  • NHL +8 pts n=15, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—Crypto −1 pts, n=2254——
Settled positions, side won79% of 76 at avg 53¢, ROI +24%94% of 6252 at avg 94¢, ROI 0%77% of 1140 at avg 66¢, ROI +8%98% of 335 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 57% of 7)4% (won 6% of 268)16% (won 31% of 184)3% (won 90% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 80% of 20)1% (won 33% of 83)13% (won 60% of 146)36% (won 98% of 120)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 76% of 37)2% (won 62% of 112)17% (won 77% of 192)59% (won 98% of 197)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 12)93% (won 99% of 5789)54% (won 94% of 618)2% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.