PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
stringXXN34RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market92% (36–3, n=39)49% (7375–7754, n=15129)
Consensus PnL—$70K$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #977was PM monthly #736Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position67% (53 of 79 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +39 pts n=11, ROI +36%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=13, ROI +49%
  • MLB +27 pts n=17, ROI −3%
  • MLB +46 pts n=16, ROI +45%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=25, ROI +40%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won79% of 76 at avg 53¢, ROI +24%100% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%93% of 19836 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 57% of 7)0%10% (won 51% of 2050)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 80% of 20)29% (won 100% of 12)22% (won 93% of 4398)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 76% of 37)54% (won 100% of 22)37% (won 99% of 7331)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 12)17% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 6057)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketstringXXN34RN1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.0K—No $10.0K