PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
stringXXwinner877RN10xd0e952c49e2F8251350fbaBEEa8eAF3Eb0A067fF-1730820030728
Record (consensus markets)no settled market91% (500–50, n=550)49% (7375–7754, n=15129)92% (126–11, n=137)
Consensus PnL—$105K$13.4M$50K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #977PM monthly #508Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #993
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position65% (65 of 100 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +39 pts n=11, ROI +36%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=13, ROI +49%
  • MLB +27 pts n=17, ROI −3%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −11 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won79% of 76 at avg 53¢, ROI +24%93% of 586 at avg 94¢, ROI +2%93% of 19836 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 111 at avg 50¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 57% of 7)1% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 51% of 2050)6% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 80% of 20)1% (won 17% of 6)22% (won 93% of 4398)41% (won 96% of 46)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 76% of 37)1% (won 75% of 8)37% (won 99% of 7331)42% (won 100% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 12)97% (won 95% of 566)31% (won 100% of 6057)10% (won 100% of 11)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.