PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
stringXXppku6298Gggggrr88
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (39–44, n=83)89% (101–12, n=113)
Consensus PnL—$52K$163K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #977was PM monthly #958was PM monthly #654
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)30% (3 of 10 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +39 pts n=11, ROI +36%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=13, ROI +49%
  • MLB +27 pts n=17, ROI −3%
  • Soccer +39 pts n=18, ROI +44%
  • NBA +28 pts n=30, ROI +20%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won79% of 76 at avg 53¢, ROI +24%81% of 57 at avg 49¢, ROI +26%100% of 103 at avg 57¢, ROI +43%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 57% of 7)2% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 80% of 20)60% (won 76% of 34)26% (won 100% of 27)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 76% of 37)37% (won 86% of 21)63% (won 100% of 65)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 12)2% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketstringXXppku6298Gggggrr88
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.0KNo $7.5K—