PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
std0GoalLineGhostRN1
Record (consensus markets)95% (9567–509, n=10076)59% (3007–2059, n=5066)49% (7039–7391, n=14430)
Consensus PnL$34K$26.8M$13.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #985PM monthly #133Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (29 of 52 open)75% (15 of 20 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +45 pts n=5979, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +31 pts n=3100, ROI +22%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 5979 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%99% of 3100 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%92% of 20730 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 45% of 65)9% (won 94% of 286)10% (won 49% of 2167)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 98% of 885)11% (won 98% of 330)22% (won 92% of 4547)
Entries 50–70¢78% (won 100% of 4649)22% (won 99% of 697)36% (won 98% of 7502)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 96% of 380)58% (won 100% of 1787)31% (won 100% of 6514)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketstd0GoalLineGhostRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $11KOver $1.4K
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.9KNo $4.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.2KNo $2.4K
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-10-25?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4KYes $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.6KUnder $1.1K