PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sneakysnake0xheavy888bredxiaozhuz632
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (3608–2722, n=6330)65% (20–11, n=31)59% (241–170, n=411)
Consensus PnL—$442K$9.6K$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #921Hand-pickedPM monthly #957PM monthly #994
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (59 of 92 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +28 pts n=22, ROI +31%
  • Soccer +47 pts n=238, ROI +47%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=1542——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 5252 at avg 55¢, ROI 0%89% of 28 at avg 69¢, ROI +15%99% of 238 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 8% of 520)4% (won 100% of 1)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—28% (won 43% of 1451)14% (won 75% of 4)34% (won 100% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢—38% (won 61% of 2005)21% (won 83% of 6)64% (won 99% of 152)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 83% of 1276)61% (won 94% of 17)1% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.